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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: EL KABONG!!! who wrote (19660)6/12/2002 9:08:01 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Not only the Brazilians who are exposed to the dollar devaluation vis a vis other currencies. Ask Jay how much dollar denominated huge reserves Taiwan, China et al.
A trillion, Jay?

While the dollar depreciates vis a vis other currencies. Sterling and Euro, for instance. US gains competitiveness against EU and England.

The dollar is appreciating against the Brazilian Real due to uncertainties surrounding next October elections. There is a flight from the Real as you state, people hedge against the Real fall. For the South American people seek refuge on the dollar regardless the dollar is dropping.

It will take a very deep drop of the dollar and for a long period of time, to erase from people's memory the dollar strength. I don't see this happening.