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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bilow who wrote (32166)6/12/2002 1:47:09 AM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 281500
 
What the Israelis are doing is slowly training the Palestinian Authority to become a 1st class guerilla force. (Fortunately for Israel, the Palestinians have a long, long way to go.) At the same time, the Palestinians are, of course, training the Israelis to become a 1st class anti-guerilla force.


Your post makes a lot of sense, Carl. However, I don't see where the Israelis have any other workable choice. In this situation, I would bet on the Israelis.



To: Bilow who wrote (32166)6/12/2002 2:00:33 AM
From: Nadine Carroll  Respond to of 281500
 
What the Israelis are doing is slowly training the Palestinian Authority to become a 1st class guerilla force. (Fortunately for Israel, the Palestinians have a long, long way to go.) At the same time, the Palestinians are, of course, training the Israelis to become a 1st class anti-guerilla force. The problem is that the initial conditions were that Israel already was a world class fighting force. So there's a lot more room for improving the Palestinians than the Israelis. Consequently, as time goes on, the balance of force slowly swings towards the Palestinians.

It's arguable that the IDF started out a first class regular army, but not so much a first class anti-guerilla force. And you're forgetting the other front, world opinion. Press coverage demands novelty. As the fight drags on, it gets less coverage. IDF tanks running through Area A and Israelis arrests don't get front page coverage anymore. This gives the Israelis more options than they had before.



To: Bilow who wrote (32166)6/12/2002 9:43:56 AM
From: JohnM  Respond to of 281500
 
The Israeli problem is that as time has gone by, the terrorists (Palestinian freedom fighters) have become better at terror (freedom fighting). In other words, time has not been kind to the Israeli situation.

Interesting post, Carl. These are thoughts I would never have read and thought had it not been for this thread. This one goes into my attempts to piece together a working framework to think about the ME.

Thanks.