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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: steve susko who wrote (493)6/15/2002 3:24:47 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 89467
 
I repeat Garz gold call because it echoes my own
the dollar sits precariously at the edge of a 300-pt drop
the dollar move from 111 to 108 will lead gold over #330

/ jim



To: steve susko who wrote (493)6/17/2002 1:30:06 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
curious press reporting on gold in last couple weeks
three Fridays ago, Kudlow & Cramer extolled gold on CNBC
they had just finished interviewing Barrick HedgeFund CEO
the next week cracks formed in gold markets
the following week gold came down harder
taking with it gold miner stocks in a solid correction
K&C were not alone pumping gold
it was all over the press generally

next expect a wave of negative press reports on gold
perhaps in a few weeks
it will mention the demonetized gold role, the central bank selling threat, lack of inflation, etc

large gold stock sellers needed greater buying volume 2-3 weeks ago to exit their hugely profitable long positions
in a couple or three weeks, they will need greater selling volume to re-enter their next long positions

not much has changed
the system still buys press reports, it seems to me
but I dont expect anything to rage with gold until the summer peaks
we move from low gold season in summer to high gold season in autumn
that makes for a very quick turnaround
Clif Droke has been the best shorterm timer I have yet
he expects a whopping gold rally this August-Sept
or perhaps loosely termed in the autumn
/ jim