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Non-Tech : Tyco International Limited (TYC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: blankmind who wrote (3418)6/17/2002 8:22:32 AM
From: John Carragher  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3770
 
Tyco valuations might not stand scrutiny
By Tim McLaughlin
Reuters

BOSTON - Tyco International Ltd.'s aggressive valuation of its
investments would wither if scrutinized by regulators or a new
regime, which could trigger bank covenant violations and asset
sales, and irreversibly change the sprawling conglomerate's
course, analysts said.

Some analysts privately say Tyco could be one or two big-ticket
write-downs away from exceeding a key 52.5 percent
debt-to-capital ratio with banks.

The effect of exceeding the covenant would take debt decisions
out of Tyco's hands and give them to creditors, who could demand
asset sales and onerous finance terms.

One area of concern for a write-down is at Tyco's electronics
business, whose profits plunged 58 percent in the March quarter.
Tyco has moved aggressively to build up its electronics division,
namely with the 1999 acquisition of AMP Inc., of Harrisburg, Pa., for
$11.3 billion.

U.S. regulators forced Tyco to cut the $11.3 billion valuation of its
finance unit CIT Group Inc. to $6.5 billion last week, confirming in
some quarters the worst suspicions about Tyco's accounting for
goodwill.

"You have significant questions about their accounting for
hundreds of acquisitions and corporate-governance issues," said
Sean Egan, managing director at independent ratings agency
Egan-Jones Ratings Co.

"When you're a conglomerate, you're supposed to add value, but
CIT is being offered at half the price it was bought for a year ago,"
Egan said. "That begs the question of whether Tyco's other
businesses are worth as much as they appear on Tyco's books
and whether the banks will be willing to waive covenants if they're
not."

Reductions in goodwill, carried on the balance sheet as an asset,
give Tyco less headroom under bank covenant caps on debt to
capital.

Even after the CIT write-down, Tyco still carries about $30 billion of
goodwill on its balance sheet as of March 31. Goodwill is the
difference between what a company pays for an acquisition and
the fair value of the underlying liabilities and assets of what it
bought.

If Tyco fails to meet cash-generation forecasts, a key factor in
justifying an investment's value, it would create additional credit
risks at the Bermuda-based company, according to analysts at
Fitch Ratings.

Tyco's bloated goodwill balance is part of the legacy of former
chairman L. Dennis Kozlowski, who spent more than $60 billion
during a 10-year acquisition spree that made Tyco into one of the
world's largest conglomerates. Kozlowski abruptly resigned this
month before being indicted on criminal tax evasion charges. He
has pleaded not guilty.

As Glenn Reynolds, an analyst and chief executive officer at
CreditSights Inc., explained, goodwill impairment charges are not
an exact science, and a company's hand tends to get forced on
write-downs when assets are put on the block for sale.

Newly hired chief executives also scrub their company's balance
sheet to sever links with the ways of the old regime.

CIT's hefty valuation had resided safely on Tyco's balance sheet,
but when the conglomerate moved to sell the finance company in
an initial public offering, CIT's goodwill became an issue. Lehman
Brothers offered $5 billion for the business, but yanked that offer
when it became public.

"The market clearly sees that [Tyco's] goodwill number is no longer
a number with a reasonable foundation, and that newly revised
$29 billion number is very soft and exceeds equity," Reynolds said.


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