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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Steve Warkentin who wrote (80234)	6/17/2002 11:52:55 PM
From: Psycho-Social	Respond to of 99280

Long Term Market Progress: Inspired by Harry Dent's book and charts, but not utilizing his personal Market forecasting techniques, I've studied the relationship between long term Market trends and the relative sizes of the 40-something generation and the 60-something generation. I've found that the Market tends to go up when the # of people entering their 40s is greater than the # of people entering their 60s and the gap is growing. During the past century, this has been true a majority of the time, but it won't be true this decade. To give a couple of examples, the birth rate bottomed around the early to mid-30s and the U.S. Market bottomed in late 1974. There was a sharp increase in the # of births between '45 and '47; and there was a sharp increase in the U.S Market from '85 thru '87.