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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jim black who wrote (20023)	6/19/2002 6:05:34 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 74559

Hi Jimmy, I am up early today. I turned on the CNBC speakers and listened to the chit chat while running through the toiletry routine, as usual, and unusually, heard the 'D' word repeatedly. No, not depression, but Dividends, how it is back in demand. The MSMoney Jim Jubak interview made the points about dividends, and its qualification (safe). Well, we are on the right track for once. As Enron had shown, loans and capital gains, and new for this world, operating and capital losses can all be transformed into positive earnings via derivatives and lies. Dividends, OTOH, are difficult to fake. The natural limit to the new craze would be sharply lowered valuations, and aggregate dividend rate higher than treasury rate, unless dividend growth rate expectation is high. DROOY declared closure of gold hedge book and declared a dividend intention. What a thought, getting money from a money digging company, without complicated management and R&D issues to cloud value. I believe the dividend trend is worth watching, just as WAT and FED/Fannie/Freddy and USD are. Chugs, Jay