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Gold/Mining/Energy : Corner Bay Silver (BAY.T) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Claude Cormier who wrote (4330)6/21/2002 11:35:29 PM
From: Silver Super Bull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4409
 
CC,

The issue as to whether BAY is better alone or as part of PAA is a complicated one. It depends upon various assumptions, further complicated by this new amended deal, in which the warrants are kind of a wildcard. (The warrants add to the leverage of the deal to the PAA stock price, but they also increase the risk.)

I think the price of silver is the primary value determinant. One could argue as to whether the combination of BAY and PAA is a good one at current silver prices, or lower silver prices.

However, in my opinion, there simply is very little argument that if silver prices rise, even modestly, BAY stockholders with a stand-alone BAY would do much better than having the BAY/PAA combination. And if silver sustains a climb above $6+, the value of a stand-alone BAY will far exceed the value BAY shareholders will receive as part of BAY/PAA.

Most silver shareholders expect silver to rise in the future; otherwise, why would they hold shares in silver companies, which has done so poorly in the past?

Every deal has a winner and a loser. I think that time will prove that BAY sold at far too low of a silver price.

DB