To: Jacques Newey who wrote (166757 ) 6/21/2002 3:31:27 PM From: BelowTheCrowd Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894 There are a few other things that Buffett understands about options, that I think most on this thread don't. He highlighted these in his CNBC interview last week: * Options, more often than not, reward you for being early, not necessarily for being great. As he pointed out, a person who joined Microsoft early on and got a few options is now a multimillionaire, even if all that person ever did was the minimum necessary to avoid being fired. In the meantime, a person who joined five years ago and did amazing work that made a huge difference has seen little or no appreciation. * Options also are HIGHLY dependent on external factors (most specifically, the state of the stock market). As such they represent an incentive that may have nothing to do with the company's real performance. He will correctly point out that stock performance and company performance often diverge, and often do so for extended periods of time. Many people made millions on dotcom stock options, even though their companies never produced a thing or made a penny. And anybody who has had stock options through the past few years has seen nothing but a decline in value, even at companies that are growing. In a market like the 70s, when the economy and many companies grew but the stock market didn't move, options would be a HORRIBLE incentive, because they would mostly expire worthless. Unfortunately, many people who state that options are essential motivation have never considered the possibility of a flat or long-term bear market, one in which even growing companies can see their stock go nowhere. Buffett has lived through those times. Most of the tech business as we know it didn't even exist then. Personally, I don't think we're going to have to do much about options. The market is already doing it. A year or two of moderate-to-flat (let alone down) performance will cause employees to demand other compensation schemes, because they'll be seeing nothing from their options and increasingly will be seeing options getting close to expiration still worthless. mg