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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (20108)	6/21/2002 3:42:54 PM
From: AC Flyer	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Interesting link, Jay. My POV is consistent with Templeton's rule-of-thumb (below). I believe we get one more leg in this wondrous bull, through about 2008 or 2009, followed by a heartbreaking 14 year bear market. 27:14 - not bad, eh? From the linked article: "Using an old rule of thumb employed by professional investors, Templeton said bear markets often last half as long as the preceding bull market. He counts the bull market as having begun in 1982 and having ended last year – an 18-year run – and wonders out loud if we may be witnessing "maybe a nine-year bear market." Templeton is quick to say with a smile that he has "never been that smart" to predict the duration of a bear market."