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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: michael97123 who wrote (64517)6/22/2002 7:05:06 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
This is a congressional contest, I don't think international politics will be important, except as it affect the mood of the electorate, thus my target invasion period as suggested late last year: The War on Terror, will, however, continue, and eventually ends up with an actual conflagration on Iraq's soil later this year (Iraq may be tempted to "arise" the Islamic world to its defense by a preemptive move against Israel). Actual "hostilities" will not start before next September at the earliest, possibly later (it is a "bitch" to conduct desert warfare in the summer, and even a military buildup will have to wait well after July/August). For political reasons (elections) the actual military activities will probably start in October. These events, strangely enough, could precipitate a year end powerful rally in the markets. (see #reply-16842549).

An autumn bottom should coincide with actual hostilities starting...as radical as that sounds.

Zeev



To: michael97123 who wrote (64517)6/22/2002 7:06:42 PM
From: BWAC  Respond to of 70976
 
You have absolutely zero justifiable concrete reason to go after Iraq right now.

All you have is Shrub beating a drum, and woes me illustrations and suppositions, and Shrubites fanning fear flames. Nothing. Nothing but Shrub wanting to USE a war to keep his sorry dad didn't finish the job ass in office. And Shrubites trying to drum up enough bs support to get the war started. Shrub is more dangerous longterm to the American people than BinLaden.

And where the heck is Powell? And why does it seem he's been silenced? Maybe he doesn't agree with Shrub's little war chant?