SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rich1 who wrote (85659)6/25/2002 9:14:48 PM
From: Jdaasoc  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Who holds his mortgage and equity debts. I want to short the bank tomorrow. He not the only one.

I am getting the feeling that S&P low point that one would calculate from "looking backwards" at charts may have to multiple by a "factor" to account for the loss in value of the dollar and percieved strenght which was one of the major reasons that allowed high PE's. For example for a crude approximation of an idea of what I mean, YEN was worth 140 to dollar, it may go to 100 to dollar, that 30-40% devaluation. Euro gained almost 20% againist dollar since market problems Gold rose 20%. Oil almost 100%. There got to be some complex model that fudge factors where fair value in S&P may exist.