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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Bull Market. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chip McVickar who wrote (868)6/27/2002 12:18:08 PM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1750
 
Chip:

Back in the 1980s, I watched the old Financial News Network's tape religiously. I love the tape. At that time, trading was dominated by programs and large money. Many individuals were still licking their wounds from the 1970s and wanted no part of the market. The action in the 1980s was like watching someone holding a full glass of water, and then on a given moment, turning the glass upside down. I told people this type of action would produce a one-day event to rival the 1929 one-day crash. It did.

In the 1990s, more individuals began to play the market and acted as a buffer to these programs and institutions. Things were crazy but there was a different look to the tape. Unfortunately, what I am seeing now reminds me of the 1980s tape and not the 1990s tape. The buffer mechanism, I think, has moved to the sidelines. So, now we have programs and institutions again dominating these intraday moves and running wild. Because of that and the failure of the market to hold the upside move of Monday and then Tuesday morning, I set aside the data that I have successfully used over the last several years. It still says we are way oversold but it too is acting differently.

When this tape reader sees things that do not appear right, this tape reader steps back until the fog clears.



To: Chip McVickar who wrote (868)6/28/2002 9:47:59 AM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1750
 
Chip:

I don't want to sound like I turned bearish. I added to long positions on Wednesday afternoon and will continue to buy well-financed, dominant stocks that are slaughtered as the fad of the day. The further we can get away from 9,200 on the upside before the oversold condition is squandered, the better. I did like the way we opened today but that is already a few moments ago.