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To: The Freep who wrote (43429)6/26/2002 4:26:08 PM
From: The Freep  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
You know what else turns me against the middle road? We all talk about breaches and new lows, etc, but the truth is. . . basically none of us are looking for down here. We're all talking about a bounce to short (or eventually a low to buy), but we haven't been shorting/putting/Rydexing for a decline (at least not publicly). Mind you, no one's going nutso long calls, but there's a big difference between talking about capitulation lows and actually putting money on the line expecting them. Face it -- how many of us here are positioned like we'd want to be if we were looking down into the abyss? OK, Tippet, put your hand down. I see you. But in general? We've been saying for a long time "it's not a good idea to short here." That's been true from a risk reward perspective, but it has proven to be the wrong play financially. Why should that stop here?

Sure, a tankola here would reward a lot of johnny-short-latelies, but think of the satisfaction of THEM knowing that a lot of the grizzlies missed the fun?

Anyway, again, maybe I'm just bitter cuz I missed the low today. . .

the freep



To: The Freep who wrote (43429)6/26/2002 4:42:55 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
I've never seen you so bearish Freep. -g My recollection is that few traders believed in that rise. Nope, for weeks it's been in and out quick on the long side and short every pop.

At this point, I am only very open to The Middle Road. Too early to say it's my call.