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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: EL KABONG!!! who wrote (20329)6/27/2002 12:57:45 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Respond to of 74559
 
Hi everybody:

I would say, that one of the distinguishing features of this thread has always been (beside differing opinions of course) the ability to keep the long-term picture intact and in focus.

The WCOM hoopla has not changed it, possibly it just confirmed it. Do you honestly think, this is the last one? Take anything (and there's a lot of this kind of debris) that dropped 80% from top and poke around. There'll be rot showing sooner or later.

And with the earnings season around the corner, we can expect some surprises of a more recent nature as well. And, to be honest, I would very much appreciate to be surprised to the upside. Because, if the long-term picture stays as it is (no profits and no new investment), we're all in for some lean and mean years.

It is ironic, that the old whooping cry "It's the bottom" is showing up here. But again, as the cherished leader Deng said:"Let thousand flowers bloom".

I'll probably follow DAK's lead, take some chips off the table, possibly cross to the other side of the street to catch some more sun. But I'll for sure avoid assuming anything.

[EDIT] actually, what I did first, was rappel up my stop loss limits.



To: EL KABONG!!! who wrote (20329)6/27/2002 5:37:16 AM
From: Moominoid  Respond to of 74559
 
Of course there are a couple of other possible e-wave counts on the NASDAQ. One is that the wave down from December is wave 5 of A. That also means there should now be a big rally (wave B) but means that the bear market will last another 4 years or so. Alternative #3 is that the C wave we are in is an extended wave. This has 9 waves and we have only completed 5 of them. Whatever, I see at least a short term rally here good for at least 200 points and then we will reach another critical point to watch whether we go up or down....

Now I probably induced another crash :)

David