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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (833)6/28/2002 10:23:51 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
Jim Grant (Interest Rate Observer) on gold prospects:

- "In no field of endeavor is impossibility more common
than in the investing field," he proclaimed at the
recent London Bullion Market Association Gold Conference
in San Francisco. "My assignment this evening is to
discuss an impossibility even stranger than the bust
that followed the boom. I mean the rehabilitation of
gold.

- "Demonstrably, there is no worse investment over time
than the ancient monetary metal. Gold is cash, perfectly
liquid but non-interest-bearing. ...through almost 200
years of American history, equities appreciated at a
compound annual rate of 8.7%, bonds at 5% and gold at
1.3%...Interest not earned on a single gold coin struck
off by the Roman mint would by now cover a sizable land
mass with $100 bills. The world could have retired on
it...As an investment asset, gold is forever waging a
rearguard action against compound interest."

- Despite this considerable handicap, Grant is bullish.
That's because he is unequivocally bearish on the
dollar.

- The dollar is nothing more than an "act of faith," he
says. "The monetary competition between gold and non-
gold is probably as old as the first gold coin and the
first banker's promise. Many contend that non-gold has
scored a final victory and that monetary history is
over. Don't believe a word of it. My bet is on the
impossible."

-end-