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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (14853)6/28/2002 11:37:29 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
George, dollar weakness is not relaying into gold strength
in seven days the dollar has gone from 111 to now 106
yet gold is stuck in a (317-323) range
I realize this is gold's low season
maybe Slider is right about a dollar/stock bounce here

but look at it from a European perspective
they now are seeing strong appreciation in local currencies
and no change in euro/yen ratios
so their exporting potential is now being hurt on pricing
while US goods are coming down in price
their pricing power is eroding fast across certain sectors
mainly technology and software, our principal strengths
no change regarding consumer electronics since from asia

this is the disinflation we saw for a full decade
they are getting a taste of it fast
with such disinflation, if not deflation, they are losing their motivation for gold from an economic standpoint
they still have it from currency instability

I suspect a huge coiled spring is being prepared for gold
but for the next few weeks, during gold low season, we have vulnerability
with gold miners providing support as they continue unwinding hedges

this Xerox news is small potatoes
2% difference in earnings adjustments
but the psychological effect is much more damaging
the parade of corruption and deceit continues
/ jim