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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (20594)6/30/2002 5:27:53 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hi DJ, << My bet: 3:1 for Brasil - in case Elmat is lurking>>

Sure bets always make me, or at least the Oriental part of me, namely the cautious part on the upper body extremity, as opposed to the Latin-esque adventurous member at the opposite extremity, feel, well, cautious, and sometimes darn left suspicious.

For example, yesterday’s match between Turkey and Korea, with one Turkish goal in the first 30 seconds of the game and one Korean goal in the last 30 seconds (during overtime) of the melee. A normal mind would think … ‘wa, and woa, what an exciting game’, and my twisted brain would say, ‘oh, how neat, a deal between Turkey and Korea must have been struck, whereby Turkey will beat Korea, but only by one goal, all choreographed, but only in the beginning and at the end. The Turkish goal at the beginning was a Korean signal that the deal is on and is good. The Korean goal at the end is Turkish payback, in exchange for the inevitable Turkish win, and face for the Koreans.

Who is right? I have no clue, but just a suspicion.

Tonight? Yes I also expect Brazil to win, as do the rest of the world, and yet, I think, Brazil may screw up.

<<JPM and IBM puts>> you no doubt meant ‘bought’. I was actually pondering the same trade, but want first to see that the rally is real, as opposed to the above mentioned football match. I want to see the market go up on Monday, if it goes up, to assure me that the animal spirit is at work, hard, as oppose to the FED is at labor, diligently, like the Korea-Spain football match, a fix.

It is sad that we have to be so suspicious these days. But, yes, we must learn the new rules of the game, in order to lose it and still live.

<<And re Dollar>> I am remaining firmly behind my currency bets, and I eye the Yen, tempted to rob the Japanese blind on their next descent into doom-dom.

<<"YES, I've been saying that all along, Japan is in real dodo with the banking problem" ... etc, until I realized I was browsing through year 2000. And it was all so darn familiar and fresh... >>

… we have come through a long distance, and yet hardly moved at all, though, happily, richer by a bit, and far richer than anyone holding Q:0)

<<Mean to say, is that a long term burn-in, exposure damage? Or is it really happening?>>

… it is happening, the collapse, as we figured, and now endorsed by, oh, let’s see, Gross, Buffet, Templeton, and Soros on the one side, and denigrated by Greenspud and O’neil on the other.

We may lose, and so might Brazil, but if we lose, we will have lost with the best team.

Chugs, Jay



To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (20594)6/30/2002 8:52:27 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 74559
 
Hi DJ, <<My bet: 3:1 for Brasil>> Very close. Now we wait for the opening bell on Monday NY time.
Chugs, Jay