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Technology Stocks : Leap Wireless International (LWIN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pcstel who wrote (2321)7/1/2002 6:51:05 PM
From: pcstel  Respond to of 2737
 
Which comes first... Or the Chicken of the Egg?

In Lucent's regulatory filings.. It states the following..

Our overall customer financing exposure, coupled with a continued decline in telecommunications market conditions, negatively affected revenue, results of operations and cash flows in fiscal year 2001. We will continue to provide or commit to financing where appropriate for our business. Our ability to arrange or provide financing for our customers will depend on a number of factors, including our capital structure, credit rating and level of available credit, and our continued ability to sell or transfer commitments and drawn-down borrowings on acceptable terms. Due to recent economic uncertainties and reduced demand for financings in capital and bank markets, we may be required to continue to hold certain customer financing obligations for longer periods prior to the sale to third-party lenders. In addition, specific risks associated with customer financing, including the risks associated with new technologies, new network construction, market demand and competition, customer business plan viability and funding risks may require us to hold certain customer financing obligations over a longer term. Any unexpected developments in our customer financing arrangements could negatively affect revenue, results of operations and cash flows in the future. In addition, we may be required to record additional reserves related to customer financing in the future.

Hey Lucent.. You won't be able to sell anything to anyone until you do something about the Loan Covenants that are in question. By the time Jan. 04 comes around. LWIN will have drawn down all of the VFamounts available. You will never find a buyer for any of this paper with the covenants hanging over their heads. Even if LWIN meets all of it's operational metrics over the next 9 months, it still won't be able to raise the capital required for the Jan. 04 covenant. Which means you won't move that paper. EVER! And you could end up holding the BAG!

Instead of wishing you could sell this paper at a 50% discount. Why don't you try and and decrease the risk profile of the paper itself?

Lucent is it's own worst enemy in this case!

I understand the concept of covenants to determine the availablitiy of future borrowings.. But, in the next couple of months.. LWIN is going to have spent almost all of the Lucent commitment.

Maybe Lucent should set a Maximum G/A covenant for LWIN! LOL!! Like maybe 25 milllion a quarter.

PCSTEL



To: pcstel who wrote (2321)7/1/2002 7:14:15 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2737
 
pcstel,

I think for that comparison to have any meaning, debt should be figured into the market cap.