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To: GVTucker who wrote (167331)7/2/2002 2:04:06 PM
From: The Duke of URLĀ©  Respond to of 186894
 
GV, Milton Freidman, M-1, M-2, concepts of inflation, deflation and the velocity theory, and my post were all concerned with the money supply.

Valuation is an interesting but different issue, I think.



To: GVTucker who wrote (167331)7/2/2002 2:04:52 PM
From: chomolungma  Respond to of 186894
 
The decline in total market value of the market forces a similar deleveraging of the economy. There is less collateral for loans and less opportunity for leverage.

This is exactly what has put a damper on the Japanese economy the last decade. They not only had the decline in their stock market, but they had a decline in the value of real estate as well. You may remember the absurd values placed on Japanese property in the early 90s. With the collateral value gone, lending fell and economic activity suffered. Compounding the problem was the refusal to recognize the bad debts and recapitalize the banks - something we're better at here in America.