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Politics : The Donkey's Inn -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mephisto who wrote (4167)7/7/2002 1:06:42 AM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 15516
 
US 'to attack Iraq via Jordan'

Military planners prepare to use British forces in an
allied assault within months

Terrorism crisis -
Observer special

Jason Burke, Martin Bright and Nicolas Pelham in Amman
Sunday July 7, 2002
The Observer

American military planners are preparing to use Jordan as a
base for an assault on Iraq later this year or early in 2003, The
Observer can reveal.

Although leaked Pentagon documents appear to show that
Turkey, Kuwait and the small Gulf state of Qatar would play key
roles, it is believed that Jordan will be the 'jumping-off' point for
an attack that could involve up to 250,000 American troops and
forces from Britain and other key US allies.


Jordan, with good roads and communications, would be perfect
for the launch of an American armoured force, military analysts
say. Its capital, Amman, is linked to Baghdad by a 600-mile
motorway that cuts through a virtually featureless desert -
perfect terrain for US tanks and high-precision air-launched
munitions.

Iraqi dissidents in Amman have told The Observer that hundreds
of American advisers have arrived in Jordan in the past few
months.

The Amman-based Iraqi National Accord (INA), which contains
many of the key military dissidents, has held talks in
Washington about plans for a strike on Iraq. They expect the US
to begin with intensive bombing and missile raids launched from
the Gulf and Turkey, leading to a military rebellion within
Saddam Hussein's elite Republican Guard.

The INA, they say, could play a military role from Jordan. They
envisage a military coup, leading to transitional military rule.


Eye-witnesses claim preparations are under way at the Muafaq
Salti air base in Azraq, 50 miles east of Amman on the road to
Baghdad.

Ten days ago the Jordanian news agency, Petra, reported that
the head of the US Central Command, General Tommy Franks,
met Jordan's chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
Lieutenant-General Khalid Jamil Surayrih.

The agency said 'the two sides reviewed the general situation in
the region and areas of co-operation between Jordanian and US
armed forces...' Officially, Jordan is opposed to a war on Iraq,
but informed sources said that there is a tacit agreement on the
issue between the Jordanian government and Washington.

The US has apparently given Jordan and other Arab states the
freedom to pay lip-service to support for Iraq.

News of a military build-up coincides with a US attempt to wean
Jordan from its deep economic ties with Iraq, and some
observers see a growing military role for Jordan in the country
once ruled by its Hashemite royal family.

'Jordan's role will be that of Pakistan in the US-Taliban war,' said
a prominent Jordanian analyst. Jordan's economy is inter-woven
into Iraq's, and the kingdom shares a close military and
economic alliance with the US.

Others say Jordan will pay a heavy price for co-operating with an
attack. 'A US strike against Iraq will increase the influence of
radicals [in Jordan],' said former Prime Minister Taher al-Masri.
'The feeling that the US is an enemy will be enhanced.'

Although Marwan Moasher, the Jordanian Foreign Minister,
denied the presence of any American troops in his country,
government sources confirmed that major manoeuvres involving
the American and Jordanian forces took place in March.
Moasher issued denials after the Lebanese daily Al Safir
reported that 2,000 American forces in Jordan are preparing to
carry out military operations against Iraq.

Observers point out that President George Bush has met King
Abdullah of Jordan at least five times since taking office. The US
is expected to double its aid to Jordan to $500m next year, and
Congress is now considering a request by the administration to
increase it by another $100m.

The American planners now believe only military force can
remove Saddam from power. Earlier this year American
intelligence operatives were sent to northern Iraq to gather
information on Iraqi defences and gauge the fighting capability of
the Kurdish militias. The Americans reconnoitred Iraqi frontline
positions and requested maps of minefields from demining
agencies working in the area. They decided the Kurds would be
no match for the Republican Guard.

Some elements in the US administration still hope that
disaffected military officers in Iraq can stage a coup. Next week
about 70 former Iraqi officers will gather in London for the biggest
dissidents' meeting yet to discuss the overthrow of the Iraqi
President.

The US hopes some of them retain links with brother officers still
in Iraq. The conference is being organised by a former brigadier,
Tawfiq al-Yassiri, who took part in an uprising in the Babylon
region south of Baghdad at the end of the Gulf war. The
co-organiser of the conference is a former general, Saad Ubeidi,
who was the Iraqi army's head of psychological operations.

The three-day conference will discuss ways of mobilising
military efforts in support of political opposition to Saddam.

guardian.co.uk