To: chris714 who wrote (15308 ) 7/8/2002 10:01:06 AM From: Art Bechhoefer Respond to of 36161 Chris, yes, there is a certain similarity, but there are also key differences. QUALCOMM was not the only company with an interest in Globalstar. Loral supplied the actual operations personnel, and Vodafone had charge of operating the gateways (individual base stations communicating with the satellites), including billing. Loral and Vodafone saw Globalstar as nothing more than a Cadillac style wireless phone system capable of being used anywhere in the world. They assumed customers such as company personnel in remote areas and executives demanding the highest reliability and very good privacy protection would constitute the market, and they were wrong. So far the only real market for Globalstar (people willing to pay extra for reliability) are law enforcement and emergency medical teams. But Vodafone has little interest in this group and Loral has pretty much written off its entire business other than building communication satellites. To make a long story short, Globalstar failed, in my view, simply because the people who were running it were incapable of understanding its market. Leap Wireless is at the other end of the spectrum--a service designed to REPLACE conventional wired phone systems, and at a competitive price. The main problem faced by Leap is the possibility of competitive pressures forcing prices down so low that a smaller company can't make money. Large wireless companies like Verizon, AT&T Wireless, Sprint, and Cingular can get the lowest advertising costs per subscriber simply because of their national coverage. Leap is far more constrained. However, its prices are lower for people who make a lot of local calls. Eventually what saves Leap Wireless, in my view, is the CDMA technology it uses (the same technology as Verizon and Sprint) combined with a pricing policy that results in greater use of its base stations in off-peak periods, thus giving greater efficiency to its operations. AT&T Wireless and Cingular are committed to older TDMA systems, which are inherently more costly, result in more dropped calls and busy signals in peak use periods, and cost far more to upgrade to accommodate high speed data communications. In the end, technology makes the difference. By the way, there's still hope for the Globalstar bondholders, but nothing positive can happen until Vodafone decides to give up its control over the base stations. Art