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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: calgal who wrote (21073)7/10/2002 12:26:10 AM
From: calgal  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Taking business seriously

Michael Kelly

July 10, 2002

In 1986, George W. Bush, who was then (not much of) a Texas oilman, sold his not-obviously-worthwhile company, Spectrum 7 Energy, to Harken Energy Corp. for more than 200,000 shares of Harken stock, a seat on the board and a modest five-year contract as a consultant. He was also made a member of the firm's audit committee.

In 1989, Harken sold a subsidiary company, Aloha Petroleum, for $7.9 million, to a group of company insiders. The purchase was made possible by a loan from Harken to the insiders. This apparent ``phantom profit'' allowed Harken to report a modest loss for 1989 of $3.3 million. In 1991, the SEC forced Harken to restate its earnings, reporting that it had actually lost $12.6 million in 1989.

In June 1990, Bush sold 212,140 shares of his stock, for $4 a share, a total of $848,560--real money and easy money. He made the sale a few weeks before Harken finished its second quarter with a loss of $23.2 million, much worse than expected. When Harken disclosed the loss in August, its share price fell to $2.37, before climbing back up (ultimately to $8, says Bush). The SEC investigated Bush for possible insider trading, but in 1993 decided not to take any action.

On Monday, Bush, who presides over a nation increasingly worried that the entire stock market is one vast and varied fraud, held only the third news conference of his term to address what he had to have known would be repeated questions about his own brush with the market and the law. He said:

(1) ``This is old politics ... this is recycled stuff.''

(2) ``Tomorrow I'm going to talk about some specifics'' on how to deal with the ``few (corporations) that have created the stains that we must deal with."

(3) ``In the corporate world, some things aren't exactly black and white when it comes to accounting procedures."

(4) And in explaining the central question dealing with his own alleged stain, ``I still haven't figured it out completely.''

This turned out to be one of the least successful lines of defense since Al Gore hit upon the unfortunate idea of ``no controlling legal authority." As it happened, Monday was the same day that the former chief executive and the former chief financial officer of WorldCom refused to answer questions from a congressional committee on their company's overstatement of pretax profits by $3.8 billion in less than two years. Bush, fumbling around with Harken's little ol' overstatement, managed to knock the WorldCom scammers off the front page of The New York Times. Impressive.

The current issue of The Economist carries a little chart listing the precise levels of value that some of the giants of the New Economy (remember it?) managed to destroy in just six months through dedicated applications of fraud, greed and stupidity: Enron (99.9 percent); Global Crossing (99.7); Adelphia Communications (99.1); Peregrine Systems (95.8); Qwest Communications (95.6); WorldCom (93.8); Dynegy (88.9); ImClone (79.4); Tyco International (78.4).

This is not a climate in which people are clamoring for a laissez-faire SEC headed by an accounting industry insider, as is Bush's man Harvey Pitt; or an SEC with a ``zero-growth'' budget and staff reductions, as the White House proposed earlier this year; or for an MBA-bearing president dismissing suspicions of his own involvement with corporate accounting deception with a lecture that ``in the corporate world, some things aren't exactly black and white when it comes to accounting procedures.''

Bush figured this out, or someone did, sometime between his Monday news conference and his speech before business leaders in New York on Tuesday. He gave the speech he should have given months ago. He spoke of ``business leaders obstructing justice and misleading clients, falsifying records ... breaching the trust and abusing power"; of ``CEOs earning tens of millions of dollars in bonuses just before their companies go bankrupt, leaving employees and retirees and investors to suffer.'' He promised that his administration would ``use the full weight of the law'' to ``end the days of cooking the books, shading the truth.''

Good, ripe stuff, and backed up by a long, Clintonian list of specific proposals and promises: doubling jail time for financial fraudsters, creating a Justice Department ``financial crimes SWAT team,'' adding $100 million to the SEC budget; stripping corporate leaders convicted of financial crimes of their past compensation; requiring CEOs to personally certify that their company's financial statements are true; aggressively enforcing new SEC rules barring market analysts from touting companies their own firms carry as underwriting or consulting clients; reforming pension funds so that executives joined employees in being barred from trading company stock in ``blackout periods" following mergers and acquisitions, and so on.

Late, and after a terrible blunder, but the right stuff finally. And if Bush doesn't want to go the way of his father, he had better be serious about it.

©2002 Washington Post Writers Group

townhall.com



To: calgal who wrote (21073)7/10/2002 2:50:02 AM
From: EL KABONG!!!  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Westi,

Unfortunately, in the USA, many people try to point fingers and assign blame to others (especially in politics and the economy), while resolutely denying any responsibility themselves. And so it is with Daschle and Gephardt. Everyone who is acquainted with American politics, even in passing, recognizes political bullshit as, well... political bullshit.

Unfortunately for those same finger pointers, it is now relatively easy to go back in time, to the beginnings of any problem and re-read the issues of that time period and see if it is "fair" to point a finger at any given group or individual.

Some Democrats have been fond of openly stating that Bush, his administration and his appointees caused the economic problems the USA currently faces. These same people fondly point to the so-called "prosperous" years under the Clinton administration. Of course, both statements are political bullshit.

The problems the USA economy faces today actually had many roots under the Clinton administration, while still other problem "seeds" can be traced back as far as the Johnson administration, including the administrations of Clinton, pappy Bush, Reagan, Carter, Ford, Nixon and Johnson himself. And to be very realistic about it, these former Presidents only headed one branch of government (administrative). The truth be told, it has been the Legislative branch of government that has failed its people, consistently, time and time again. It doesn't really matter whether it's Democrats or Republicans or a few Independents scattered about here and there. Collectively, the Senate and the House of Representatives have been one colossal failure since the Eisenhower years. But that's neither here or there. Today is today, and Americans have to deal with today's problems.

As a matter of history, easily verified by most any reputable financial publication, the decline in the American stock markets started in March, 2000. There were many reasons why it was inevitable, but there was only one incident that actually triggered the event.

Way back then, if anyone cares to remember, biotech was one of the sectors at the forefront of the speculative bubble. A little known (publicly, anyway) company was about to make a major breakthrough and patent the knowledge and map of the human genome. Speculators went wild and bid up the prices on many biotech firms, anticipating that the ownership of this knowledge would enrich the shareholders way beyond their wildest dreams. But along came the event that stunned the speculators. Then-President Clinton, along with then-Prime Minister Tony Blair declared that any knowledge or maps obtained from government-funded studies belonged to the entire world, not any biotech company or its shareholders. Literally overnight, the stock prices of these biotech companies crashed, some of them down more than 90% in (literally) just days.

From there, the stock market decline spread to other sectors as well, without rhyme nor reason. Momentum players had learned a new word, "fear". And they were selling anything and everything in sight. The little investor, especially the long term, buy-and-hold guys, were getting crushed in the wake of the momo players' departures from the marketplace.

The tumble in stock prices led to a rise in unemployment, which in turn led to a future tumble in tax revenues, while a tumble in tax revenues has led to deficit spending and additional debt at all levels of government. So here we sit, two-plus years into the bear markets and worsening conditions for the economies of the entire world. And these two clowns, Daschle and Gephardt try to bullshit all of the world by stating that the Bush administration is responsible.

Does anyone want to know what's really funny about all of this? There are actually idiots spread out all over the USA that willingly buy into this line of bullshit, because otherwise they'd be forced to admit their own share of responsibility for what's wrong with today's economy. And guys like Daschle and Gephardt won't ever admit to anything like that. Historically, we've seen this sort of thing before. Once upon a time there was this guy named Hitler that had this gift of gab that mesmerized an entire nation...

KJC



To: calgal who wrote (21073)7/10/2002 9:54:53 AM
From: tradermike_19991 Recommendation  Respond to of 74559
 
I don't really care about Tom Daschle. I'm not a supporter of his and don't care about putting Bush down to make Democrats look good or vice versa. There are plenty of people on TV doing that.

The issue yesterday is are the President's proposals going to do anything. The issue isn't is he a bad Republican or a bad Democrat. And his proposals are a little meaningless. Setting jail sentences to 10 years from 5 means nothing when no one is going to jail anyway.

What is needed are reforms to stop analyst fraud and accounting fraud.....

As for who caused the downturn - Bush didn't. Greenspan/Rubin did through their bailout programs. But Bush has made it worse though by blowing up the budget by increasing government spending. He hasn't vetoed a single spending bill. He is no conservative in my book.