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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (1918)7/12/2002 10:06:24 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
I expect a shocker: parity next year, dollar/yen=100 >>>>>

this will carry with it huge inflation implications
this would be a 20-30% decline in the dollar versus the yen
all manner of japanese components and finished products are sold in the USA
of course, some of mfr'ed offshore, not in Japan
in Korea and even China, but that is not enough really
because all of the Asian currencies are rising
EXACTLY as I expected this winter and early spring

negotiations will continue to be difficult in pricing
at first, Asians will give in, so as to preserve their mktshare
but as the dollar continues down, Asians must keep their end of prices steady, which means our end goes UP UP UP

Pimco's Gross believes China will remain as a solid Asian mfg deflationary force with its cheap labor
but that must offset the rising currency
we will see
but I expect price inflation to return to the USA
THAT IS PRECISELY WHY GOLD RISES VERSUS DECLINING DOLLAR
it foretells price inflation
what the fundamental data confirms this, GOLD EXPLODES
/ jim