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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 2sigma who wrote (2090)7/15/2002 9:49:14 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
several gold(dollar) rest stops along way, a concern
only after a substantial gold runup will a big correction with serious profitaking ensue
that has not happened yet, imho
a run for gold from #280 to #320 is not a big run
the next run might be from #310 to #360
bear in mind that gold runs typically when panic sets in
pullbacks will be interesting to watch
after the next run, the longterm trend for gold will be clear
and the entire world of technicians will climb onboard

there will always be correction points for gold/dollar
as for a 6-month "cyclical bull", I think you have your terms off
such a rally would be a 6-month counter-trend rally within a secular bear
I am unsure much of a rally like that will occur
momentum is the name of this game
and momentum is deteriorating for US markets
watch the dollar, which is breaking down now
/ jim