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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2154)7/15/2002 1:29:13 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 89467
 
In the words of Tom Petty.............

quotes.ino.com

Free falling :-|

Ö¿Ö



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2154)7/15/2002 1:32:02 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467
 
Dow Falls More Than 300 Points

Monday, July 15, 2002
Last updated at 10:15:35 AM PT
By AMY BALDWIN
AP BUSINESS WRITER


NEW YORK -- Wall Street's dramatic selloff intensified Monday with investors seeing no reason to buy stocks while they await the release of second-quarter earnings results. The Dow Jones industrials fell more than 300 points, heading for their fifth triple-digit loss in six sessions.

Corporate accounting scandals have spooked investors, making them mistrustful of earnings reports and outlooks for the remainder of the year.

"For lack of a better description, you have as much full-fledged panic as you are going to get," said Tony Cecin, director of institutional trading at US Bancorp Piper Jaffray in Minneapolis. "The negative mentality is as pervasive as I have ever seen it, and I went through (the) `73 and `74" bear market.

In early afternoon trading, the Dow was down 308.68, or 3.6 percent, at 8,375.85, having last week dropped 694.97, or 7.4 percent, in five straight losing sessions. It was the blue chips' largest weekly point decline since Sept. 21, when they dropped 1,369.70 following the terrorist attacks.
The Dow was approaching its Sept. 21 low of 8,235.81. Prior to the terror attacks, the Dow hadn't closed lower since Oct. 14, 1998 when it finished at 7,968.80.

The market's broader indicators, having already fallen through their Sept. 21 lows, also declined sharply Monday. The Nasdaq composite index fell 24.52, or 1.8 percent, to 1,348.98, after last week's loss of 74.86, or 5.2 percent.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index dropped 29.30, or 3.2 percent, to 892.09. The S&P ended last week down 67.64, or 6.8 percent.

Even positive economic news failed to cheer Wall Street Monday when the Commerce Department reported businesses raised their inventories by 0.2 percent. The increase, the first since January 2001 and better than the 0.1 percent analysts had expected, indicates companies are confident enough about the economy to increase their stockpiles.

Despite mounting evidence of an economic recovery, investors have been unloading stocks for eight weeks due to unceasing worries about the integrity of corporate accounting and earnings. The major indexes have not finished a week higher since mid-May.

"Just as the markets were driven on the upside by emotion - euphoria and greed - this market is driven by fear and despair," said Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer at First Albany Corp. "It is not at all unusual for the market to disconnect from the economy and earnings when fear takes hold."

Bookkeeping concerns weighed on Duke Energy, which plunged $3.68 to $21.07 after being downgraded by Morgan Stanley, Salomon Smith Barney and Goldman Sachs. On Thursday, Duke said it had received subpoenas from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Houston office of the U.S. attorney for information related to its trading activities.

Energy company El Paso Corp., which said it received a similar subpoena Friday from the Houston office of the U.S. attorney, declined 85 cents to $16.90.

Disappointing earnings pulled other shares lower. Financial services company Northern Trust fell $1.05 to $38.54 after missing analysts' expectations by a penny a share.

But losses were spread across sectors Monday, indicating investors' lack of confidence in the market as a whole. General Electric declined 83 cents to $27.77, despite reaffirming its yearly earnings outlook last week.

General Motors fell 61 cents to $45.99, after suffering a series of analysts' downgrades last week. Analysts expressed concern about GM's ability to fund its pension plan.

And, Coca-Cola declined 39 cents to $50.66 despite news that it will adjust its accounting to report results more fairly. Coke will begin treating future stock options as employee compensation.

Among gainers, Fannie Mae inched up 18 cents $70.81 after beating second-quarter earnings expectations by 3 cents a share.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers slightly more than 5 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange. Volume came to 949.95 million shares, just below the 909.62 million traded at the same point Friday.

The Russell 2000 index, the barometer of smaller company stocks, fell 10.93, or 2.6 percent, to 402.35.

Analysts say the dollar, weakening against international currencies, is another drag on the market, and has prompted many foreign investors to exit U.S. equities.

Overseas markets were lower Monday with Japan's Nikkei stock average finishing down 2.1 percent. In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 and France's CAC-40 each slid 5.4 percent, and in late-day trading Germany's DAX index dropped 4.4 percent.



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2154)7/15/2002 1:52:15 PM
From: SOROS  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
I haven't seen the call for buying guns and canned food yet. ;)

I remain,

SOROS



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2154)7/15/2002 2:26:47 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
The Latest From Morgan Stanley...

Global: Asymmetrical Risks
United States: The Fed and Deflation Risks
Global: Light at the End of the Tunnel?
United States: Greenspan Preview -- Irrational Pessimism?

morganstanley.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2154)7/15/2002 3:23:38 PM
From: crdesign  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 89467
 
"economy and stock market now totally detached, no link"

I respectfully disagree Jimmy, They're entirely attached.

The market is a future discounter/engineer. It sees the horizon and the direction of the tracks. It also knows Alan Greenspank purchased us a "One Way" ticket on that train. Its destination is bound for the deepest bowels of hell.

All aboard!

Little Devil, Tim



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2154)7/15/2002 3:30:59 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
COMEX gold, silver push higher as stock markets dive

Monday July 15, 3:27 pm Eastern Time

NEW YORK - COMEX gold and silver futures rallied on Monday as world stock markets plummeted amid lost investor confidence and the U.S. dollar weakened against key currencies, drawing speculative buying in the safe-haven metals, dealers said.

Gold shot to a two-week peak and and silver hit its loftiest level in six weeks as the euro (EUR=) rose to one-for-one with the sagging dollar for the first time since February 2000.

"It is almost all equity- and dollar-based type action in gold today, the same old story," said Alaron Trading analyst David Meger. "The weaker dollar, with the September euro futures getting to parity today, and then the continuing break in equity markets was bringing this buying into the market."

Gold for August delivery (0#GC:) on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange finished at $319.90 an ounce, a gain of $4, after ranging from $316 to $320.30, its highest since June 28.

Spot gold (XAU=) traded at $319.40/90, compared with Friday's New York close at $315.40/5.90, after fixing in London Monday afternoon at $319.

The euro surged above the psychologically important $1 level in a broad assault against the greenback as investors worried over the strength of the U.S. economy at the start of quarterly corporate earnings.

The weaker dollar makes commodities like gold priced in dollars cheaper for overseas buyers.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average sank for the sixth straight session as the dollar fell and concerns lingered about more possible corporate misdeeds after multiple accounting scandals in recent weeks.

The Dow tumbled 3.7 percent in afternoon trading, down 318 points at 8,365. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices also fell.

With equities under pressure, investors were moving into precious metals as a capital preservation strategy, dealers have said.

"We expect the 10-day moving average (at $315, basis COMEX August) to hold the support below the market right now," said Meger. "Our initial target is the old failed trend-line which comes in at about $323, and a close back above that would be positive."

August gold hit 2-1/2 year highs above $330 an ounce five weeks ago.

In other metals, COMEX September silver (0#SI:) largely followed gold's move to close 5.3 cents higher at $5.118 and ounce, ranging $5.065-$5.155. Spot silver (XAG=) was at $5.08/10, versus its last close of $5.03/5.05. Spot silver fixed at $5.045 in London.

NYMEX October platinum futures (0#PL:) settled up $2.90 at $526.90 an ounce. Spot platinum (XPT=) was at $530/535.

September palladium (0#PA:) ended at $318 an ounce, off $1.50. Spot palladium (XPD=) fetched $315/325.