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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (15767)7/15/2002 3:36:04 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 36161
 
over weekend, mortgage banker commented on refi's ending
he said they have essentially halted recently
he claimed evidence since mid-spring shows end to refi activity
cannot recall which channel, might have been CNN

he believed from experience that (as you say) unless mortgage rates descend another 1%, the trend is over
this spells bigger trouble for consumer spending than real estate pricing
but in time, with added layoffs, property sales will come
and layoffs are a natural consequence to reduced spending

great shorts with broken charts on housing sector
Toll, Ryland, Lennar, but today HomoDepo recovered

/ jim



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (15767)7/15/2002 3:38:03 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 36161
 
Fed, which 1st: eases (prick econ), raises (prick US$) ? jw