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To: T L Comiskey who wrote (2232)7/16/2002 12:29:13 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
dollar is serious danger still, below critical 105.5
it struggled to remain above that level for two weeks
and finally broke it, now 104.45

it has no support between 100 and 105.5
expect this to come apart
the real rally in stocks occurs after US$ hits 97-100

intraday chart:
quotes.ino.com

multi-year chart:
stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyyay[df][pb50!d20,2!f][vc60][iUb14!Uh15,5,5]&pref=G

/ jim



To: T L Comiskey who wrote (2232)7/16/2002 1:13:48 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Holy Earth!

By Michael Hasty

Grand Oil Party

Following the terrorist attacks in September, the environmental movement, in the interest of national "unity," muted its message and even its criticisms of the man who has been dubbed "the most anti-environmental president in American history."

Environmentalists’ patriotic efforts, however, have not been reciprocated. Indeed, one of the more remarkable aspects of the "war on terrorism" is how the Republican party is opportunistically manipulating the public’s feelings of unity to advance a highly partisan (and anti-environmental) agenda, and to reward its biggest donors.

The GOP’s actions range from holding up airline security legislation (to prevent workers from being unionized), to passing multibillion-dollar corporate tax cuts (tilted especially toward Texas-based energy companies), to protecting the insurance industry from the costs of future acts of terrorism, by guaranteeing taxpayer bailouts. Also in the works are rollbacks of Clinton-era environmental regulations of the mining industry and restrictions on road- building in national forests.

Among the incidental beneficiaries of "America’s new war" are the pharmaceutical, security, armaments and defense industries -- all of whose campaign contributions skew to the Republican party. However, the industry with the most to gain from our current war in Afghanistan is the one closest to George W. Bush’s heart: the oil industry.

Republicans are already using the war as an excuse to try to put the Bush energy plan on a congressional fast track, and get approval for oil-drilling in America’s last remaining pristine wilderness, the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge. This initiative, which most Americans opposed before September 11th, had little chance of passage until the terrorist crisis transformed our national politics.

But the limited supply of oil to be found in ANWR is small change, compared to the bonanza the petroleum industry will reap if America and its rogues’ gallery of allies are successful in "taming" Afghanistan.

In a 1998 speech to his fellow oil industry executives, Vice President Dick Cheney, then CEO of Halliburton, Inc., the world’s largest oil services corporation, said, "I can’t think of a time when we’ve had a region emerge as suddenly to become as strategically significant as the Caspian" -- referring to the central Asia region east of the Caspian Sea. The American Petroleum Association estimates there are $4 trillion worth of oil reserves in the Caspian region.

The problem, because of the region’s geography and politics, is transporting the oil to emerging markets and shipping points in eastern Asia. Until 1998, a consortium of oil companies, led by an American firm, Unocal, had been negotiating with the Taliban to build a pipeline across Afghanistan. As award- winning British journalist John Pilger has noted, "Only if the pipeline runs through Afghanistan" --as opposed to alternate routes through Iran or Russia – "can the Americans hope to control [the Caspian oil]."

Halliburton, which had built several Asian pipelines for Unocal (including one in Burma that was internationally condemned for widespread human rights abuses associated with its construction) had a big stake in the Afghan project. But after the US launched cruise missiles against terrorist training camps in Afghanistan, in retaliation for the 1998 bombings of American embassies in Africa (which were also attributed to Osama bin Laden’s network), Unocal decided to at least temporarily suspend negotiations on the pipeline. According to a public statement, the company was waiting until Afghanistan has "the peace and stability necessary to obtain financing from international agencies, and a government that is recognized by the United States."

Another American firm with financial links to the Afghan pipeline project is the Carlyle Group, the nation’s most highly capitalized private equity company and, by virtue of its investments, the eleventh-largest defense contractor. The Carlyle Group is dominated by veterans of the Reagan and Bush I administrations, including former Secretary of Defense Frank Carlucci, who serves as chairman, former Secretary of State James Baker, and former budget director Richard Darman, among others.

(In a rather bizarre twist, another major investor in the Carlyle Group is the wealthy Saudi Arabian family of Osama bin Laden, whose connections to the Bush family go back decades. In fact, one of the earliest investors in George W’s first oil business, Arbusto Energy, was Osama bin Laden’s late brother.)

Under the present circumstances, however, the most notable investor and member of the board of directors in the Carlyle Group is former president George H.W. Bush, who also serves as senior adviser to the group’s Asian Partners Fund. The ethical ambiguities this raises has drawn criticism from across the political spectrum.

Judicial Watch, the arch-conservative watchdog group that initiated the Paula Jones lawsuit and led the charge in the impeachment of Bill Clinton, has labeled the association of the senior Bush with Carlyle a "conflict of interest," and called for him to resign. On the progressive side of the spectrum, Charles Lewis, president of the Center for Public Integrity, which monitors campaign financing, said recently, "In a really peculiar way, George W. Bush could some day benefit financially from his own administration’s decisions, through his father’s investments. That to me is a jaw-dropper."

In light of recent events, an op-ed piece written by Marjorie Cohn, and published in the Chicago Tribune during last year’s presidential campaign, seems eerily prescient.

"As George Bush’s Secretary of Defense," she wrote, "Dick Cheney was chief prosecutor of Operation Desert Storm, [which] was primarily aimed at keeping the Persian Gulf safe for US oil interests. Shortly after Desert Storm, the Associated Press reported Cheney’s desire to broaden the United States’ military role in the region to hedge future threats to gulf oil resources...Because of the instability in the Persian Gulf, Cheney and his fellow oilmen have zeroed in on the world’s other major source of oil -- the Caspian Sea."

Cohn’s column ends with this conclusion: "Chosen by George W. Bush to bring foreign policy expertise to the GOP presidential ticket, we can expect a Republican administration to increase US intervention in regions when it suits Dick Cheney’s oil and other corporate concerns."

Not long after the September 11 attacks, the New York Times reported that George W had told his communications adviser, Karen Hughes, "Through my tears, I see big opportunities."

Can there be any doubt what he meant by that?

wvhc.drw.net



To: T L Comiskey who wrote (2232)7/16/2002 2:05:50 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
The Strange Career of Frank Carlucci

By Francis Schor

In the past few months there has been a rash of media reports on the Carlyle Group, a private equity investment group with billions of dollars of assets in the defense industry and a roster of directors and consultants which includes not only well-known Reagan and Bush appointees but also international figures like John Major, the former Prime Minister of Great Britain, and Fidel Ramos, the former President of the Philippines.

The Chairman of the Carlyle Group, Frank Carlucci, was not only a former Secretary of Defense in the Reagan Administration, but a Deputy Director of the CIA during the Carter Administration. In fact, Carlucci's career in Washington provides some insight into the intersection between foreign and domestic policy in the Cold War years. Moreover, Carlucci's particular trajectory through the government and into private industry reveals much about the meaning and influence of the military-industrial complex in the past and continuing policies of the United States at home and abroad.

A critical part of Carlucci's career was spent as a foreign service officer during the 1950's and 1960's in such hot spots as the Congo and Brazil. He capped that foreign service career with a stint as Ambassador to Portugal from 1974-77, a key time in the history and development of the Portuguese revolution. Carlucci's navigation through these conflictual moments helps to situate the nuances of US cold war policies not only in these specific countries, but throughout the world.

As the Second Secretary in the US Embassy in the Congo during the time of the reign and consequent assassination of Patrice Lumumba, Carlucci was intimately involved in the US efforts to overthrow Lumumba's government. In the recent cinematic reconstruction of the life and times of the Congo's first elected prime minister, Lumumba by Haitian director, Raoul Peck, Carlucci is depicted as being part of a meeting of US, Belgian, and Congo officials plotting the murder of Lumumba. Claiming that this particular meeting was fabricated by the filmmaker, Carlucci did admit at a Washington premier of the film that US policy towards the Lumumba government was a bit "too strident."

The fact that CIA station chief Lawrence Devlin was under direct instructions from Secretary of State Dulles to seek the immediate removal of Lumumba is part of the historical record. There is even evidence to suggest that the actual hit on Lumumba came from the White House at Eisenhower's suggestion. In fact, there was an assassin hired by the US government, equipped with chemical weapons from Ft. Detrick, to use against Lumumba.

When Lumumba was captured in December 1960 after fleeing from house arrest by a former supporter and later vicious dictator of the Congo, Colonel Joseph Mobutu, the CIA probably helped to arrange for Lumumba's transfer to Katanga province where Katangan and Belgian henchman murdered Lumumba and disposed of his body.

Meanwhile, Carlucci was attempting to placate Lumumba supporters and draw them into a new coalition government. In the confusions that ensued, Carlucci found himself under house arrest and at odds with Clare Timberlake, the US Ambassador to the Congo who did not favor any involvement with Lumumba supporters. Fortunately for Carlucci, Timberlake was relieved of his ambassadorial post and replaced by Kennedy appointees whose liberal politics allowed for certain compromises with indigenous forces in Africa who might still serve the anti-communist alliance while facilitating US economic interests in the region.

Although Carlucci wasn't around for the mess that followed in the wake of UN intervention and the continuing zigs and zags of US policy in the Congo, he did wind up in Brazil in time for the overthrow of the Goulart government. The CIA and State Department were actively engaged in funneling money to opponents of Goulart and setting the stage for the eventual military coup in March and April of 1964.

Beyond his populist policies that threatened nationalization of US subsidies, Goulart was seen by Washington as "soft on communism" and "pro-Castro," indictments enough to spell his doom and put in place right-wing military dictators who would outlaw any political or union dissent for years. As a consequence of the military coup and its entrenchment, Carlucci gained a reputation as a "tough-guy" with the American Defense Attaché in Brazil, Colonel Vernon Walters.

By the end of the 1960s Carlucci had returned to Washington to become part of Nixon Administration, going from the Office of Economic Opportunity in 1969-71 to the Office of Management and Budget in 1971-72. He then was appointed Under Secretary of Health, Education, and Welfare from 1972-74. Among the other key members of these departments of domestic pacification were Caspar Weinberger, who was a Carlucci mentor, and Donald Rumsfeld, a former college buddy and wrestling mate from Princeton. Both Weinberger and Rumsfeld would later become, as would Carlucci, Secretaries of Defense. The bureaucratic imperatives honed in these cabinet positions would further underscore the primacy of military Keynesianism in governmental policy.

After so many positions as an underling and gray bureaucrat, Carlucci burst onto the explosive stage of post-revolutionary Portugal as Ambassador. With the approval of CIA Deputy Director Vernon Walters and Henry Kissinger, Carlucci began immediately to ferret out potential communist sympathizers among the left-leaning young military officers who helped foment the revolutionary coup in Portugal in 1974.

However, unlike Kissinger, Carlucci was willing to work with Socialist Mario Soares not out of any sympathy for Soares' politics, but because from Carlucci's perspective Soares was the "only game in town" to prevent the most militant leftists from assuming power in Portugal. Carlucci managed to convince President Ford of his approach by working directly through Rumsfeld who was, at the time, the White House chief of staff. Carlucci's pay-off came when Soares won the Presidency in 1976, cementing ties with NATO and instituting IMF approved austerity measures.

Such successful machinations in Portugal earned Carlucci a position as Deputy Director of the CIA in the Carter Administration from 1978-1981. When insurgent forces in Iran and Nicaragua in 1979 toppled the Shah and Somoza dictatorships, Carlucci and the CIA had little ability to control the upheavals even though there were various clandestine efforts to thwart the revolutionary forces in these countries. On the other hand, the CIA certainly played a significant role in sponsoring anti-Soviet Mujaheddin, perhaps even suckering the Soviets into their disastrous campaign in Afghanistan.

Carlucci then made the transition to a procurer of new weapons as Deputy Secretary of Defense in the Reagan Administration under Caspar Weinberger from 1981-83. During this time, in response to wide-spread criticism of Pentagon waste and mismanagement, Carlucci developed proposals (known as the "Carlucci Reforms") to rationalize the process of weapons procurement. However, Carlucci's policies did not lower costs. They did, apparently, offer new start-up companies the opportunity to get involved in DoD pork, something that the Carlyle Group would take advantage of later on.

After a brief departure into the world of private business at Sears World Trade from 1983-86, Carlucci returned to become first an Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs in 1987. He then went on to become Secretary of Defense later than year until his resignation in 1989 when he went to work for the Carlyle Group.

As Secretary of Defense he worked closely with the Joint Chiefs of Staff and particularly the Chairman, Admiral William Crowe, Jr. (Crowe is now a chief stock-holder of the parent company of BioPort, the recently FDA approved monopoly holder of an anthrax vaccine. The Carlyle Group also apparently has stock holdings in Crowe's company.) While overseeing some cutbacks in the DoD, particularly military bases in the US, Carlucci was committed to expanding certain military appropriations in the area of new technology as a way of strengthening the US national security state and expanding NATO. Although willing to compromise with Congress on the Strategic Defense Initiative (encountering in the process a rebuke from Reagan), Carlucci maintained a determined stance of US supremacy in nuclear arms and nuclear-war-fighting capability.

While outside of government in the 1990's, Carlucci managed to circulate on the boards of various think-tanks, e.g. the RAND Corporation, and help promulgate reports on national security and defense that urged increases in defense spending and the use of US military might. Nonetheless, he, along with other former Secretaries of Defense, opposed sending ground troops to Bosnia, perhaps because there were no long-term prospects for security or economic advancements.

Certainly, Carlucci's tenure at the Carlyle Group has resulted in an expanded portfolio of defense industries. Among the defense industries that Carlyle holds is United Defense, a maker of missile launch systems for the US Navy. However, Carlyle's reach under Carlucci has expanded into a variety of new technologies in defense and non-defense industries, such as global communications.

For example, Carlyle is keen on cleaning up hazardous materials at military bases and nuclear waste. Buying firms not yet publicly traded that deal with such services, such as Duratek and EG&G, allows Carlyle to position these firms for government contracts and then cash in when they are publicly traded. Such influence-peddling is certainly not new to former government officials who use their ties to past and present administrations for private benefit.

Carlucci, of course, insists that he does not importune or lobby his old buddy Don Rumsfeld. Nonetheless, the money trail from Carlyle's portfolio to Rumsfeld's office at the Pentagon is pretty evident. In one major decision by Rumsfeld, revealed by New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, United Defense's 70-ton Crusader artillery system was saved from a potential budget cut. Surely, the proposed massive increase in spending for the Pentagon by the Bush Administration will benefit the Carlyle Group.

What has seemed most egregious to inquiring journalists and public interest groups has been Carlyle's consultants, like former President Bush, whose ties to ruling elites in Saudi Arabia (including the Bin Laden family) and South Korea have resulted in lucrative holdings and investments in these countries for Carlyle. As noted by the executive director of the Center for Public Integrity: "(Former President) George Bush is getting money from private interests that have business before the government...And, in a really peculiar way, George W. Bush could, some day, benefit financially from his own administration's decisions, through his father's investments." In fact, George W. benefited in the past from Carlyle by being put on the board of a Carlyle investment, Caterair, an airline-catering company during his Texas business career days.

Similar to the Enron situation, the Bush family and others have enriched their careers and political fortunes with their ties to the Carlyle Group. However, this is a scandal that still hasn't gained the attention and measures necessary to prevent its scandalous continuance.

Carlyle's cozy relationship with DoD insiders and other power-brokers is part of Carlucci's effective management of Carlyle. The global reach of Carlyle, while often hidden behind the veil of private investments, moreover is indicative of Carlucci's own experience with US imperial and military policies.

Like the subject of C. Vann Woodward's seminal study of racial oppression and exploitation in the South, The Strange Career of Jim Crow, Carlucci's "strange" career is representative of significant other pathological imperatives in US political culture. The residual effects and on-going commitments to imperialism and militarism in US society feed such opportunistic careerists as Frank Carlucci.

Until there is a massive movement to dismantle all of the institutions and ideas that sustain US imperialism and militarism, Frank Carlucci and his ilk will continue to profit and prosper at the expense of the well-being and very lives of people here and abroad.

counterpunch.org



To: T L Comiskey who wrote (2232)7/16/2002 10:59:01 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
The Disastrous Foreign Policies of the United States

Part 3: A TERRIBLE MESS: What Can We Do About It?
by Bill Christison /Former CIA Political Analyst
counterpunch.org
July 8, 2002

What kind of lunacy is going on in Washington?

Hatred of U.S. foreign policies intensifies day by day in much of the world, but the present administration is not even examining the possibility of changing those policies to allay the hatred and reduce the likelihood of future terrorism.

Instead, the response of the Bush administration is to dig in its heels, militarize the nation beyond rationality, move toward preemptive warfare as a first-choice instrument of national policy, and, with more arrogance than ever, label as "evil" a variety of nations and groups that oppose U.S. policies. With the alleged aim of enhancing internal security, it is taking the first steps down a path that could easily convert the government itself into a dictatorship--a dictatorship to be administered primarily by the Defense Department and another monstrous bureaucracy to be set up in a Department of Homeland Security--a new body with the potential of becoming a combined MVD and KGB (the huge internal security and intelligence agencies of the former Soviet Union). To top it off, Bush, flanked before the TV cameras by Colin Powell, Donald Rumsfeld, and Condoleeza Rice, his entire top foreign-policy team except for behind-the-scenes manipulator Cheney, has peremptorily demanded the removal of an elected foreign leader, Yasir Arafat.

Part of what the Bush administration is trying to accomplish through this frantic activity is to distract us from the government's most alarming intelligence failure in 60 years, from the early failures in its "war on terrorism," and from widening evidence of the personal involvement of some individuals at very high levels of the administration in an Enron debacle that Bush wants to bury. More importantly, this activity demonstrates once again that Bush and his associates/handlers have no intention whatever of considering changes in the foreign policies that caused the terrorism in the first place and that continue to intensify hatred of the U.S.

Certainly some differences exist within the Bush administration in the degree of willingness to consider changes in foreign policies, but so far they don't amount to much. Vice President Cheney and other foreign-policy formulators in the White House, the NSC staff, and the Pentagon show no inclination to change any policy as a way of reducing global hatreds against the United States. Secretary of State Powell and his advisors seem a little more receptive to change, but Powell is clearly reluctant to force a confrontation on the issue. Bush himself is by no means neutral in this internecine struggle. He leans strongly toward the side of Cheney, the NSC, and the Pentagon (as well as his political advisors like Karl Rove, and his comrade-in-arms Ariel Sharon, Israel's Prime Minister). The only factor restraining him from throwing his full support to these people is probably his own desire to avoid a messy confrontation with Powell, who after all still has something of an independent political base in the U.S. But, to repeat, at the moment no grounds exist for believing--or hoping--that Powell would ever allow a policy disagreement with Bush to become a confrontation.

All of this means that no changes in U.S. foreign policies will occur in coming months unless some powerful new pressure intervenes to influence the administration. Given its disdain for foreign governments and its belief that it is pretty much all-powerful, any new pressures from abroad, at least for the near future, are likely to have little effect.

New pressures from inside the U.S., however, could be considerably more effective. The strongest motivating force in the Bush administration's actions these days is probably the desire to strengthen the Republican Party's position in Congress this fall, followed immediately by the hope of winning an untarnished nationwide majority in Bush's own reelection effort in 2004. Similarly, the strongest motivations behind actions of House and Senate candidates right now are probably their desires to win this fall. Right now, then, is the time for a maximum effort to exert political influence by all of us who believe that the U.S. should change its internal security, military, and above all foreign policies.

Nothing but clear evidence that voters in this country are turning against current U.S. policies associated with the so-called war on terrorism will bring about changes that many of us think are necessary. So we need to start a campaign to influence voters to support new policies. Many of us who agree that Bush's policies are wrong will have different emphases and will not have identical views on what changes are most important. That's okay. We have to start somewhere, and the important thing is to start NOW. Otherwise the perpetual and preemptive Bush-Cheney wars will be upon us before we know it, and Attorney General Ashcroft's destruction of individual freedoms will gradually flood over all of us and drown much that is good in our society and culture.

The task is not impossible. Those of us who give public talks on these issues, or participate in radio interviews or talk shows, know there are many people out there with beliefs like ours, and many more who are willing to change their minds when faced with facts. It is difficult to believe that the present poll numbers showing 70 percent or higher support for Bush's foreign policies are immutable. In fact, support for those policies is probably quite shallow. One sign of this is that new books now being published that criticize U.S. foreign policies since September 11 are selling very well.

For those who think the exercise is doomed because votes in the U.S. are rarely influenced by foreign policies, we should emphasize that the stringent and even unconstitutional internal security policies that now affect us all are directly related to and caused by the foreign policies we are talking about. All the lobbies powerful in U.S. politics--lobbies for Israel, arms manufacturers, energy conglomerates, or any others you want to name--cannot prevent us forever from influencing the policies of this benighted administration. We should bring as much influence to bear as possible on the 2002 congressional elections, never forgetting that the combined targets of G.W. Bush and yet another congressional election will require an even greater effort in 2004.

Here are three suggestions of key points we should emphasize. Let's see more proposals from others. We should probably concentrate on only a few topics, ones on which it is most important to gain support among voters for changes in U.S. internal security, military, and foreign policies.

ONE: We should oppose establishment of a Department of Homeland Security. We should in addition press for immediate congressional revisions of the USA Patriot Act, to abrogate all provisions therein that the ACLU opposes.

As already mentioned, a new Department of Homeland Security would automatically contain within itself the potential of becoming a combined MVD and KGB. Even the Soviets avoided that error, out of a desire to prevent establishment of a power center capable of threatening the supreme dictator of the moment. While President Bush has so far given lip service in opposition to the inclusion of internal security and foreign intelligence functions in the new organization, pressures to do so from within his administration will surely develop, and such pressures from elements in the congress are already evident. Since Bush and his top advisors backed away from their earlier and oft-expressed opposition to the very creation of a powerful Homeland Security Department, it's not hard to believe they could flip-flop as well on combining internal security and foreign intelligence functions. To do so would bring the citizens and legal residents of this country even closer to losing the remnants of political democracy that they so far retain. Would covert intelligence operations against American citizens be more widely allowed if the secretary of this new, extremely powerful department could give direct orders to both CIA covert operatives and FBI agents? Could congressional oversight over such a department be effective?

Given other flip-flops of this administration, particularly on the Israel-Palestine issue (Arafat must stay becomes Arafat must go), we can have little confidence that no more course reversals will occur on this new department. But even without changes, the department will probably have more power over the daily lives of many people--particularly immigrants--than any other arm of the government, except for the armed services, which have full power over military personnel. Imagine how the powers of this department might be expanded by executive order rather than legislation if major new terrorist actions occur within the U.S. after its creation. Or if for any reason a new era of witch hunts emerges similar to the McCarthy years of the 1950s. Many fear that such a development is possible, and they are right to be fearful. We should make a maximum effort to abort this new department before it is born.

Most people don't know enough yet to have a firm opinion on a Department of Homeland Security. That gives an immediate campaign against it a better chance of victory. So let's go out and slay this dragon.

We should not be distracted in this fight by arguments that many of the functions slated for transfer should logically be in a new department rather than where they are now. The Secret Service, for example, is now in the Treasury Department--with no logic at all. But it seems to have done its job pretty well from its pad at Treasury. Having a more logical place to put it might please a few pedants, but as a significant reason for a new cabinet-level department, it flunks. The same can be said for several other functions that are slated for transfer to Homeland Security.

TWO. We should urge U.S. voters to oppose the Bush administration's drive for global hegemony and domination. The Bush approach of "what we say goes" increases worldwide hatreds of the U.S., and in no way benefits a majority of Americans.

The U.S. has markedly accelerated its pursuit of global political domination and its own version of big-corporation economic globalization since the collapse of the Soviet Union a decade ago. The benefits of this domination accrue almost exclusively to the corporate structure that really runs this country and its military and governmental supporters, who provide security for the corporate structure and encourage its further expansion around the world. Average wage earners in the U.S. receive few if any benefits, and some are actually hurt.

The Bush administration today is militarizing the United States to an unprecedented degree in comparison with other nations. Four months ago, an editorial in the New York Times on March 3 put it bluntly: "If Congress cranks up the Pentagon's budget as much as President Bush would like, the United States will soon be spending more on defense than all the other countries of the world combined." These military expenditures will clearly increase the pressure to cut spending on domestic problems such as poverty and healthcare, and also make it harder for the U.S. to help alleviate global poverty. This administration will tell us that we must reduce other spending because we are at war. The true cause, however, and we should emphasize this fact to voters, is the pursuit of global domination by the United States. This ultimate goal of U.S. foreign policy is neither necessary nor desirable, and it will not in the end be worth the cost, either in terms of money or in terms of domestic needs that will be sacrificed.

In response to arguments that Bush's foreign policies are not so extreme as suggested above, you should urge that people look at a speech he gave on June 1, 2002 to the West Point graduating class. In this speech, he explicitly stated that "America has and intends to keep military strengths beyond challenge, thereby making the destabilizing arms races of other eras pointless and limiting rivalries to trade and other pursuits of peace." This is as explicit a statement as you will ever see that the U.S. plans to dominate all other nations and be the policeman of the world.

In the same speech, Bush said, "Our security will require all Americans to be ready for preemptive action." He explicitly rejected the concepts of deterrence and containment, saying that deterrence "means nothing against shadowy terrorist networks," and that containment "is not possible when unbalanced dictators can deliver weapons of mass destruction on missiles or provide them to terrorist allies." A strategy espousing preemptive war is an integral part of the vast U.S. militarization now underway. We should urge voters not to abandon a policy that has worked for over 50 years, and to oppose this preemptive-war strategy with all their might. In fact, we should oppose ever initiating a war, because it is as immoral as terrorists killing noncombatants. Furthermore, unless and until the U.S. is willing to give up its own nuclear weapons, other nations and groups around the world will continue trying to obtain such weapons for themselves. Some of these efforts will be successful regardless of U.S. preemptive actions. We should support instead new multilateral negotiations aimed at reaching an agreement that would abolish all nuclear weapons, including those of the U.S.

THREE. We should urge the U.S. government to change its unjust policy of supporting and enabling Israel's continuing occupation and colonization of the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem.

A majority of people in almost all countries believe that U.S. policy on Israel and Palestine is unjust and one-sided in support of Israel. Many governments around the world are unwilling openly to oppose the U.S. on this issue, but they are aware of these majority views in their countries. In all Arab and Muslim nations, these views are completely dominant and will inevitably encourage more acts of terrorism against the United States.

We should clearly and unemotionally convey to friends and voters that we ourselves--not only most people in other nations--believe U.S. policy toward Israel and Palestine has been unbalanced and unjust for many years.

Most people likely to support this will not need advice on the factual evidence to present to friends and potential voters. Just briefly give those facts about the injustice of U.S. policy that you are sure are true. Limit your comments specifically to the policies of the U.S. and Israel. If anyone charges you with anti-Semitism, state categorically that criticism of the policies of the Israeli or the American government is neither anti-Semitic nor anti-American. You should not avoid talking about your honest views because of a possible charge of anti-Semitism. The charge is spurious.

If anyone asks what you thought of Bush's statement on June 24, in which he practically ordered Arafat to leave the scene, one answer would be to say that this is a perfect example of the bias in favor of Israel with which U.S. governmental policy has long treated the Israel-Palestine issue. Bush said exactly what Sharon wanted him to say and thereby strengthened his hand with Jewish voters in the U.S. It was by no means the statement of a neutral mediator.

In this same statement, Bush also blamed most recent problems in the Israeli-Palestinian peace process on Palestinian terrorism. In fact, Israeli terrorism, both by the Israel Defense Force (IDF) and by settler groups, has caused more killings of Palestinian non-combatants and children than Palestinian terrorism by suicide bombers has caused of Israeli non-combatants and children. And it is not the case that the Palestinians strike first, while the Israelis only retaliate. Both sides, with equal justification, can claim retaliation as the motive for their actions. Nor can the Israelis claim there is no "moral equivalence" between Palestinian suicide bombers who deliberately kill Israeli non-combatants, and the "accidental" or "collateral-damage" killings of Palestinian non-combatants resulting from Israeli military and settler actions. There is ample evidence, from reliable sources including Israel's own media, that many Palestinian non-combatants are in fact deliberately killed by Israeli forces or settler vigilantes. There is complete moral equivalence between the two types of killings and the two types of terrorism. Both are equally inexcusable.

For those of us who believe U.S. policy on Israel and Palestine is indeed unjust and will increase the likelihood of terrorism against the U.S. and its allies, it is vital to highlight one specific point. More Americans need to understand that a suspension or at least drastic curtailment of U.S. aid is the most important single change that the U.S. government should make in its policy toward Israel. Each year congress and the president approve, with little debate, aid (grants, not loans) to Israel now officially totaling almost $3 billion, but when all price breaks and special benefits to Israel are added in, the total is nearer $5 billion annually. That aid makes it far easier than would otherwise be the case for Israel to maintain its occupation and continue to expand its colonization and settlement activities. It is the greatest single element of injustice in U.S. policy toward Israel and Palestine, and Arabs who see U.S. aircraft and other weapons killing Palestinians on Al Jazeera TV are reminded almost every day that these weapons are part of the U.S. aid package.

We should urge each American voter this fall to question every single candidate for national office about his or her position on aid to Israel, and to make the answer a major factor in the voter's choice of a candidate. It is no longer just a "single issue," not important enough to determine one's vote. It is now an absolutely critical issue, because it will be a major factor in determining whether future terrorism against the U.S. increases or gradually subsides. If all candidates in any electoral race refuse to support the suspension or major curtailment of aid to Israel, we should urge people not to vote for any of them, and to make their reasons public. It is that important.
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Bill Christison joined the CIA in 1950, and served on the analysis side of the Agency for 28 years. From the early 1970s he served as National Intelligence Officer (principal adviser to the Director of Central Intelligence on certain areas) for, at various times, Southeast Asia, South Asia and Africa. Before he retired in 1979 he was Director of the CIA's Office of Regional and Political Analysis, a 250-person unit. His wife Kathy also worked in the CIA, retiring in 1979. Since then she has been mainly preoccupied by the issue of Palestine.