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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mt_mike who wrote (2402)7/17/2002 10:58:44 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
saw the JPMorgan CFO interview
absolutely nothing discussed about gold or their entire derivative desk

Faber asked about liquidity only for the firm
he asked a number of good toplevel questions
CFO said "all is well" regarding liquidity
we can all rest now, company must be in great shape after all

as for Intel, very prudent to postpone the new fab
and margins maintained at 51% is good news

but I cannot emphasize enough how important and disastrous this continued CapEx decline issue is
read a good piece last night, interview with Gleckenhaus
he claims capex is 15x more important for consumer spending
consumers are fickle and can disappear easily
and I think they will soon
but capex spawns the entire multiplier effect

right not USGovt stats on GDP are very badly calculated
they put far far far too much emphasis on final spending

Gleckenhaus claims that in Q4 the govt GDP stat multiplied actual spending in IT by a factor of 15 according to their hapless methods
money not spent, money not received
but money movement perceptions that the stock markets acts upon
very deceptive, very incompetent
but then again, they are govt statisticians
they couldnt get a job in the private sector
/ jim