SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dave who wrote (168456)7/18/2002 2:14:02 PM
From: TGPTNDR  Respond to of 186894
 
Dave, Re: <...the low inventory level implies to me that AMD knew revenues would be light at least two months in advance. ...>

Well, certainly. In the Q1 CC AMD said their channel was stuffed.

They said they "SOLD" over 6M processors. That's over 500K more than my guess.

They also guessed, in their 2Q cc that Intel's channel is now more "STUFFED" than theirs(AMDs).

I'd guess we'll find out in a couple months what the story is.

-tgp



To: Dave who wrote (168456)7/18/2002 8:45:32 PM
From: Petz  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 186894
 
<The most shocking thing regarding AMD's announcement was no inventory buildup>

If CPUs are held in wafer form, i.e., not packaged yet, the inventory can be valued at COST, which is maybe $20 per CPU. With $340M of inventory, there's plenty of room there could easily be 6M CPUs in inventory valued at $120M. If these CPUs are sold for $30 in the current quarter, AMD could actually book a profit on them.

If last quarter's inventory was held as finished, tested product, it is very possible that there are actually more CPUs in inventory now than there were 3.5 months ago, even though the $ value of the inventory hasn't changed.

NOTE: the breakdown of the inventory into raw materials, work in process, finished goods is made in the 10Q which hasn't been released yet.

Petz