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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TheBusDriver who wrote (16027)7/19/2002 3:03:16 PM
From: gold$10k  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
Wayne,

Yes, when the POG is up 7 and the XAU is only up .5, that's a very big disconnect which may indicate other, less visible factors at work. We'll see what happens in the next hour.

EDIT: a rise above 71.75 will break the intra-day downtrend line. We're almost there. <g>

vt



To: TheBusDriver who wrote (16027)7/19/2002 11:01:30 PM
From: Little Joe  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 36161
 
Wayne:

I think the most important chart right now is the HUI.

bigcharts.marketwatch.com

It is forming a triangle and there are three things that can happen. If it breaks to the upside soon, we are due for the move up, likewise if it breaks to the downside, look for some short term weakness. If it gets much closer to the apex, it will have no predictive value. On balance, I don't think we learned much today and I continue to keep my powder dry.

I am still of the opinion that a possible scenario is that the market capitulate next week and then rally stongly putting the fire out (temporarily). I do believe that long term the market will go a lot lower and gold will go a lot higher.

Little joe