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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DebtBomb who wrote (96644)7/21/2002 11:04:04 AM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99280
 
Dale, I don't disagree with you on that, I have been saying that for the last two and a half years (see-#reply-13483082 "Once the three forces cited above combine to break the bullish psychology of the market, then we could be ready for a bear market, and not a three months severe correction. These are some of the major reasons my long term outlook is a market locked in a trading range of 6000 to 13,500 on the Dow and possibly a range of 1900 to 5200 on the Naz. It will take a good many years (five to ten, maybe 16 like in the 1966 to 1982 period?) before the growth in earning finally catches up with current valuations.", and I keep readjusting the Naz projected lows, I readjusted to 1600 or so during the first rate cut in January 2001, and then in the summer of 2001 to 1400, more recently I was forced to further readjust my over optimistic views on that elusive bottom to around 1150 or so, and more adjustments may follow <g>). That long term view of a secular bear interrupted from time to time with violent bull moves has no changed. So far, since then we got four such violent counter trend moves, I know not how many more...

Zeev

Zeev



To: DebtBomb who wrote (96644)7/21/2002 12:17:28 PM
From: sylvester80  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
Fed model shows stocks 35% UNDERvalued. Can anyone show me if ever the Fed model been wrong before? You may want to look at the Yardeni charts (link below) before you answer.

205.232.165.149



To: DebtBomb who wrote (96644)7/21/2002 12:53:33 PM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 99280
 
LOL! Dale! That was a classic post! I like it...hehehehehehh