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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LTK007 who wrote (96776)7/21/2002 9:05:58 PM
From: LTK007  Respond to of 99280
 
most succinct quote from article #1,imo <<The really big risk is that consumers will reawaken to the timeless truth that the best way to save money is to stop spending," said Richard Hastings, chief economist at Cyber Business Credit, a retail advisory firm in New York. "And I think that will impact aggregate demand in a way that has not been seen since the 1930's.">>



To: LTK007 who wrote (96776)7/21/2002 9:20:30 PM
From: LTK007  Respond to of 99280
 
And toughest quote from the 2nd article,imo <<Stephen S. Roach, chief economist at Morgan Stanley, believes that further job cuts and softening home prices will force consumers to face reality. "Consumers who are savings-short and overly indebted are going to have to pull back and it's going to be a multiyear retrenchment," he said.

Household debt is now at 75 percent of gross domestic product, a record. And debt service as a ratio of disposable income stands at 14 percent, just below the all-time high of 14.3 percent recorded late last year.

With consumer debt off the charts, Mr. Roach said he was "pretty appalled" ( my comment, i am not appalled, i see it as a desperate act of a wild gambler desperately trying get out of a losing hand. I expect such "buy me more time" action by Greenspan as he continues to destroy the future just to sustain the moment. These actions of his over the years have already done so much damage i see his/our chances as nil to none. I feel Greenspan the economist has been betrayed by Greenspan the Politician.--max) moves by Mr. Greenspan's recent testimony. "He said that we can keep the consumer afloat by helping him extract equity from his home to finance expenditures," Mr. Roach said. "With the real economic reverberations of the popped equity bubble just starting to sink in, the Fed seems more than willing to risk inflating another bubble in order to temper the distress."

Perhaps the housing bubble has helped consumers take the stock market's carnage so stoically. If so, what bubble will emerge to calm them when housing prices fall?>> from Morgenson NYT piece--link in above post.



To: LTK007 who wrote (96776)7/21/2002 9:37:23 PM
From: straight-->arrow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Why do you consider these two articles excellent? Because they fit your beliefs. Too bad you waste your time and all of us smart investors time by posting such articles.

The market offers great opportunities to make money. Buy the puts, short or just buy the carnage. Still tons of money to be made by shorting/puts the banking stocks, retail and drugs. You can buy JMAR, SRV, ENN or others and ride them to their true worth. You can buy GCHC-a current pink stock sleeper making record profits in China from their Unigel operations. unigel.com or unigel.co.uk

And please don't post a response-you are old, bitter and in sad shape. I enjoy vibrant, bright people, especially in troublesome times. Good luck to all who understand that the market ALWAYS offers investment gains, if one just thinks clearly. -->