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To: Claude Cormier who wrote (4590)7/22/2002 4:21:56 PM
From: loantech  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 39344
 
Claude I gotta vote for you over our friend Bob on this one. Of course we don't know where PE's are because the books have been cooked on so many s&p and dow stocks. We know if they are at let's say 25 average now they should only be at let's say 15 with real books so we have a long ways to fall. And consumers are not that scared yet. I know I am in the credit business. BTW the amount of credit going out the door is incredible. Nobody remembers what their parents said "pay cash".



To: Claude Cormier who wrote (4590)7/22/2002 7:22:48 PM
From: russet  Respond to of 39344
 
Wayne Deans of Deans Knight Capital Management (portfolio manager) commented on ROBtv at about 7:14pm,....that the last time the S&P fell 45%+ (like the last few years) was in 1973,...the trailing P/E for the S&P (GAAP I assume) at the end of that bear market was 10x,...the trailing P/E measured the same way (I assume it is being measured the same way as he implied it by discussing both as comparable) is 31x as of today's drop.

We can all now make our own interesting ASSumptions (ggggggggg)