SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: michael97123 who wrote (64993)7/23/2002 10:25:56 AM
From: Alastair McIntosh  Respond to of 70976
 
mike, there is no sign that NVLS woes are company specific. Order rates are softening at foundrys and DRAM producers. Wafer start activity is slowing down and utilization rates of foundries will plateau in the last half of the year. Look for pushouts and order delays.

End demand is the problem. Ignore self serving statements of CEOs trying to pretend conditions in the industry are not as bad as they are.



To: michael97123 who wrote (64993)7/23/2002 10:33:35 AM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Michael, remember that a bookings slowdown at this point in the cycle is historically normal. suite101.com

[the green bookings line flattens for a few months after the initial rise from the bottom]

G.



To: michael97123 who wrote (64993)7/23/2002 10:42:34 AM
From: Cary Salsberg  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
"Disappointment"

Q1 orders $175M up from $125M(?). Q2 orders forecast at $250M. Mid-Q2 revised to $275. Actual Q2 $276. Q3 forecast at $250.

As I have said before, this is not a normal cycle and the recovery will be very slow. The usual monotonic increases will not occur. Most orders are for new technology, not capacity. Orders will be lumpy.