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Strategies & Market Trends : Take the Money and Run -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (10319)7/23/2002 12:37:13 PM
From: Original Mad Dog  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 17639
 
After the '29 crash, I am not aware of any sectors that were bullish....until the market bottomed out in 1932. The rally which began in 1932 was extremely powerful and broad based.

Here is an article written about that period......the charts have some interesting info about long term trends. About halfway through the article there is a discussion of how there were predictions in Jan. 1930 that the market was attractively priced from a fundamental perspective, and yet the recovery was more than two years away from starting. Even in hindsight, there is no way to dispute the fundamental arguments made at the time; the psychology of the market, however, had not yet recovered enough to sustain a rally.

j-bradford-delong.net

That rally came approximately 2 1/2 years after the crash began. The present crash began two years and four months ago.