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To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (182713)	7/23/2002 8:53:29 PM
From: orkrious	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 436258

ok, so if we run with all this, are we talking about a huge surprise cut in interest rates - eg like in half - and simultaneously dropping bags'o'cash onto city centres from helicopters? something like that. but it really doesn't matter does it? the markets are f*cked. there is absolutely nothing greenspan can do.

To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (182713)	7/23/2002 9:07:17 PM
From: yard_man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

real rates have been negative for a while -- they lie about inflation. I expect things to be grossly uneven and more unbanalanced in the future -- some things seeing pretty good price rises while others (i.e. real estate, durable goods, autos -- to plunge in price). What rises?? I think foodstuffs will rise in price and other nondurables ... energy is an unknown for me -- 5-10yrs out is easy -- price rises are bound to happen, but near term the slowdown in economic activity may be more important. I don't know that I buy the idea that all the rise in the dollar was simply intervention -- we've had intervention all the way down that hasn't produced squat -- here's a question: Did the dollar rise because gold tanked or gold tank because the dollar rose or neither?? <vbg> Press says that gold tanked because the dollar rose -- meanwhile debts continue to go bad (they weren't good from the start, but ...) and the financials get sold. Don't have any answers -- just questions.