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To: Dan3 who wrote (85650)7/24/2002 12:22:43 AM
From: kapkan4uRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872
 
<But if a rate cut (or two) can bring another wave of refinancings, it will add some liquidity to the economy. >

This is like Elmer rolling out his QQQ short puts -- digging a bigger and bigger hole.

The current debt levels are unprecedented already. Refinancing and spending the house equity is not a sustainable source of capital. The US stocks went from $17 trillion to $10 in two years. No rate cuts can compensate for that. There were only two bubbles before (three if you count the tulips): in 1929 in US and 1989 in Japan. We know what happened then. The history was quick to blame politicians, but I think that post-bubble depressions are inevitable because of huge destruction of wealth.

I hope I am wrong on that.

Kap



To: Dan3 who wrote (85650)7/24/2002 12:49:21 AM
From: tejekRespond to of 275872
 
Dan, I heard about the Kudlow remarks. Its possible he was suggesting that the Feds might cut rates. However, I think if they are meeting, its to try and talk some confidence into the markets. The President has failed to inspire and the Sec. of the Treasury is in Poland. There really is no one else.

As for a rate cut, I think that would only scare the markets right now. Something has to be done soon........the selling is overdone and has become compulsive.......and could lead to much more serious consequences.

ted



To: Dan3 who wrote (85650)7/24/2002 2:34:24 AM
From: PetzRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
I'd prefer to see margin percentages cut. Brokerage firms might ignore it and keep their own requirements anyway. I wish the Fed had raised margin percentages when the Naz was going crazy. There was nothing overheated about the economy then and its not dying now.

Petz