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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ali Chen who wrote (168856)	7/30/2002 11:40:34 AM
From: fingolfen	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 186894

Same must be true about atomic granularity of the matter, since Intel officials are so confident in expanding Moore's law to infinity. Anyone noticed how bitter the AMD fanboys are sounding these days? 1) Intel has never said that Moore's law extends to "infinity", but they have said it's safe for another two decades or so. 2) According to the semiconductor press (Semiconductor international and EE Times are good online sources), the only portion of an integrated circuit at this point that is running into the "atomic granularity of matter" issue is the gate dielectric. Motorola and TI have already announced high-k dielectrics which will stave off the "end of the line" there for a few more process generations. 3) World + Dog at this point as demonstrated 15nm transistors which won't come online in high volume manufacturing until ~2011. That's at least the next decade of scaling with proof of concept. 4) Granted as you move down from there (from 15nm to 10nm, then 7nm, then 5nm, then 3nm) life gets a LOT harder, and at some point you're going to need to move to a new transistor designs. 5) Ultimately silicon will run out of steam. No one at Intel or anywhere else denies that. The question is, however, when. The answer is "not for 15 to 20 years".