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Strategies & Market Trends : Ultra OTC Fund - UOPIX -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (2009)	7/31/2002 12:59:23 AM
From: Gemlaoshi	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2063

Tom, FWIW, I have a couple of suggestions that may allow you to reduce the risk associated with your UOPIX position. As long as the secular trend on the N100 is down, your 70% UOPIX position is especially vulnerable. It is simple enough to "hedge" your UOPIX position with some USPIX. Use your IW to determine the relative weight between UOPIX/USPIX. I use VIX for the same purpose because it gives intraday volatility...and with the wild intraday swings we've had recently!! Anyway, at low risk, overweight UOPIX, and reduce USPIX. And as the risk metric returns to high risk, take some of your profits in UOPIX and buy additional USPIX. I have to admit, the returns on this method are not as exciting as correctly "guessing" the direction of the N100. At the same time, guessing is no longer important. If the market goes up, I make some money...if the market goes down, I make some money. Not great amounts, but fairly consistent. Regards, Dave

To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (2009)	7/31/2002 8:14:29 PM
From: John	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2063

As always, thanks for the comments, Tom. It seems like you are handling this chaos with a lot of poise. Your system seems to be faring well, and I really enjoy monitoring your IW! Thanks for the good work. Best Regards, John in New Orleans