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Politics : World Affairs Discussion -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ChinuSFO who wrote (1206)	7/31/2002 10:41:24 PM
From: Nadine Carroll	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 3959

The Iraq attack is off if the Bush administration succeeds in establishing that Osama is dead No way, Chinu, the Bush administration has committed itself to regime change in Baghdad. They're not going to pull back now. Just wait til fall.

To: ChinuSFO who wrote (1206)	8/1/2002 4:07:21 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3959

Re: The Iraq attack is off if the Bush administration succeeds in establishing that Osama is dead. LOL... That whole Iraqi scare is a hoax! Who's afraid of Saddam? You? Me? America? Gimme a break... Tell ya what, the real bogeyman in the area is IRAN --here's a clue for you: August 1, 2002 Russia's Iran plant concerns Powell From combined dispatches BANDAR SERI BEGAWAN, Brunei - U.S. Secretary of State Colin L. Powell met Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov yesterday and voiced concern about a nuclear power plant under construction in Iran. On a day of diplomatic give and take, Mr. Powell also met with the foreign ministers of China and South Korea, after starting in the morning with an "informal chat" with North Korean Foreign Minister Paek Nam-sun. Last week Russia compounded U.S. concerns by announcing that it was planning a dramatic expansion of nuclear power plants in Iran. Russian cooperation with Iran has long been a sore point with Washington, and the power plant under construction in the Persian Gulf port city of Bushehr is an especially sensitive issue. A senior U.S. official who briefed reporters said Mr. Ivanov, responding to Mr. Powell's concerns, promised to look into the situation. Moscow has maintained the plant would not contribute to Iran's nuclear weapons development. [...] washtimes.com Get the picture, Chinu? So far, the US's lost its grip on both Iran and Iraq... The only US allies in the region are Pakistan and Turkey. But Turkey is destabilized/weakened by the Islamophobic Euros (Turkey's financial crisis stems directly from her exclusion from the EU bloc) and Pakistan got squeezed between India (Kashmir) and Russia (Afghanistan). Anyway, the most immediate threat to the US's dominance in the Gulf is Iran's WMD buildup. Problem is, Iran is too big a fish for the US to mess with.... Therefore, the US administration has smartly decided to take on the weakest link --Iraq-- and to turn it into a US ally. The US's endgame is to contain Iran with the following triumvirate: Turkey, Iraq, and Pakistan. A long shot, indeed. Gus

To: ChinuSFO who wrote (1206)	8/1/2002 5:47:02 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 3959

Footnote to my previous post: Iran on the Brink August 1, 2002 Iraq and Israel may dominate the headlines these days, but many who are well-versed in Middle Eastern affairs agree that the linchpin of the region has almost always been, and still is, Iran. "If history repeats itself," Middle East specialist Reuel Marc Gerecht wrote recently, "as goes Iran, so will go the Muslim world." Changes this year in the political climate in the Islamic Republic and in American-Iranian relations, therefore, warrant close attention. [snip] theatlantic.com