SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mannie who wrote (3826)8/5/2002 2:52:34 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Carefully Assess Iraq Threat

LEAD EDITORIAL
The Los Angeles Times
August 4, 2002


President Bush speaks at every opportunity of the need for a "regime change" in Iraq, one of the triumvirate in his axis of evil, but he has yet to make the case for U.S. military action to remove Saddam Hussein. Last week, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee launched a much-needed inquiry into that topic, raising the question not just of how Hussein could be toppled but, more important, what sort of regime might follow.

From the day U.N. weapons inspectors entered Iraq after the Gulf War, the Baghdad government tried to hide its stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons and its nuclear weapons technology. Yet the investigators found and destroyed biological weapons factories and large quantities of chemical weapons, a major reason Baghdad has refused entry to any inspectors since 1998 in defiance of U.N. Security Council resolutions. Iraq is a regional threat, but how great a danger it poses to the United States, or the world, now and in the future is the key question.

The committee chairman, Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.), said the Bush administration supported the hearings, although it did not want to participate yet. Eventually it must. If the administration does decide to go forward, it should seek a congressional resolution of support, as President Bush's father did after Baghdad's 1990 invasion of Kuwait.

Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld last week said he doubted that inspectors would find everything if they were readmitted to Iraq. That may be true, but pressing for their admission should be the administration's top priority.

Aside from Britain's lukewarm support for a new military campaign, Washington has no public backing from other countries. The U.S. case would be stronger if it went the last mile to push for inspectors.

Last week, Baghdad invited the chief U.N. weapons inspector to visit and talk. But more talk is unnecessary. In the end, Iraq must let the inspectors go where they want, when they want.

A strike against Iraq would require the use of bases in the region. Prudence demands 100,000 troops or more; if the foe collapses quickly, wonderful, but if not, be ready. There must be contingency plans for street fighting in major cities and plans for nation-building.

Hussein has used chemical weapons before, against the Kurds in Iraq and against Iran. It is not easy to predict when a nation will use its weapons of mass destruction or what is necessary to deter such use. Iraq did not use its chemical and biological weapons during the Gulf War because it knew the response would be quick and overwhelming.

The world would be better off without Saddam Hussein. But if he does not pose an imminent threat, if there is not better intelligence on his acquisition of weapons of mass destruction and readiness to use them or provide them to terrorists, don't marshal the troops.

latimes.com



To: Mannie who wrote (3826)8/5/2002 3:55:50 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
America alone

A BOSTON GLOBE EDITORIAL
8/4/2002

IF THERE WAS one unmistakable lesson to be learned from the atrocities of Sept. 11, it was that the United States, despite its unmatched military and economic power, cannot afford the delusion of believing it does not need the good will of other countries, other peoples.

Too often, President Bush and some of his senior advisers have acted as if they have accepted only what is convenient in that lesson. They have asked governments in Asia, Africa, Europe, and the Middle East to cooperate with the United States in its war against terrorism. Traditional allies such as Great Britain, France, Italy, and Germany responded by having their intelligence agencies share information with their American counterparts and by coordinating police work against terrorists.

Less publicized was the cooperation offered by governments that until recently had been regarded by Washington as untrustworthy, hostile, or themselves implicated in terrorism.

Syria, which is still on the State Department's terrorism watch list, has nevertheless been avid to enlist in Washington's war against terrorists associated with Islamist movements in the Arab world. The secular, pan-Arabist Baathist regime in Damascus has a fearsome history of suppressing its own Islamic Brotherhood by force. Twenty years ago Hafez Assad, the deceased father of Syria's current ruler, Bashar Assad, massacred some 20,000 people in the town of Hama in response to a rebellion by the Islamic Brotherhood. From an Assad perspective, the United States is now enlisting in Syria's war on terrorism.

The relevant moral is not merely that the war on terrorism makes strange bedfellows. It is that even the loftiest superpower may need cooperation with other countries - as the Bush administration has now experienced directly. From Manila to Islamabad, from Cairo to Moscow, the United States has had to seek help in tracking and catching implacable enemies.

This dependence on other nations in a time of need shows how untenable is Bush's doctrine of unilateralism.

So there is something irrational about the Bush administration needlessly, and repeatedly, going it alone.

America's best friends around the world were justifiably provoked by the recent spectacle of the United States threatening to drop out of all UN peacekeeping missions and veto all such missions unless the UN Security Council granted American peacekeepers complete immunity from prosecution by the International Criminal Court that came into being on July 1.

That court, known as the ICC, owes its genesis in large part to traditional American internationalism. It was founded upon the precedent of the Nuremberg trials at the end of World War II. The aim of the court is to be able to indict - and ideally to deter - perpetrators of war crimes and crimes against humanity such as Saddam Hussein or Slobodan Milosevic.

US negotiators played a central role in defining the rules and procedures of the court, and although there are still some clarifications that would be desirable, the ICC poses almost no danger at all to the 700 US peacekeepers who are among 45,000 UN peacekeepers serving in many places around the world.

The administration's solo efforts to sabotage both the court and UN peacekeeping forces became the most blatant display yet of an American arrogance so foolish that it almost validates French complaints about a US ''hyperpuissance'' - hyperpower. The message sent to the rest of the world is that we Americans, with our smart bombs and our $400 billion defense budget and our high-tech economy, have no need to heed the interests and counsel of even our closest foreign allies.

Bush and his advisers are telling those friends as well as tactical partners: We will call on you for help when it suits our purposes, but we will not hesitate to disdain your pleas for cooperation when we need to placate the paranoid right wing in our domestic politics.

This is also the message delivered when Bush lauds free trade but then unilaterally adopts steel tariffs that affect Europeans and Russia particularly, or when for blatant political reasons he backs high farm subsidies. The administration also inspires resentment among its allies when it scorns international agreements and treaties such as the Kyoto accord on climate change, the Protocol on Involvement of Children in Armed Conflict, the Convention on Discrimination Against Women, and the US-Russian Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty signed in 1972 and expunged this year to enable the administration to pursue its expensive dream of creating a missile defense system.

Secretary of State Colin Powell has defended the administration against the charge of going it alone by asserting, correctly, that he consults continually with other countries. This is true, and Powell deserves particular praise for his efforts to keep India and Pakistan, both nuclear powers, from going to war over Kashmir. But there is a crucial distinction between instances of self-interested diplomacy and a foreign policy rooted in a true internationalist sharing of constraints and obligations.

In the starkest terms of power politics, the United States has acquired such military and technological superiority over all prospective rivals that, for at least the immediate future, it can feel free to impose its will on other countries. However, in a world order dominated by a single superpower, what that dominant nation most needs to avoid are actions that provoke lesser powers to unite against it.

Afghans have a saying about their rugged national game, buzkashi. They say that only one player wins, and he does not win for very long. If the Bush administration wants to protect the United States from the fate of a temporary victor at buzkashi, it will cede a little of its unilateral privilege for the long-term benefits of international cooperation and good will.

© Copyright 2002 Globe Newspaper Company.

boston.com



To: Mannie who wrote (3826)8/5/2002 1:26:02 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Powell, the good soldier

By Dennis Jett
Commentary > Opinion
The Christian Science Monitor
from the August 05, 2002 edition

GAINESVILLE, FLA. – The recent stories about Colin Powell resigning as Secretary of State are like Mark Twain's comment on the "news" of his death – greatly exaggerated.

The speculation persists, and is periodically recycled, because of an erroneous assumption that when Mr. Powell quits it will be for policy reasons. It won't. When his tenure ends at Foggy Bottom, personal calculations will drive it rather than policy considerations.

The stories contend that Powell is unhappy about his inability to have more influence on the Bush administration's foreign-policy decisions. Cutting off US funding for the United Nations Population Fund, after Powell praised it only last year, is cited as one example. Rejecting every international treaty designed to deal with a global problem because it might somehow impinge on US national sovereignty is another.

Thus, speculators conclude, such frustrations should be enough to drive any internationalist to throw in the towel – especially a statesman with the stature of a rock star.

Powell wore a military uniform much longer than he has worn pinstripes, however, and he earned most of his four stars on the bureaucratic battlefields of Washington. He therefore combines the obedience and discipline of a soldier with the loyalty and discretion of the consummate staff aide.

At the White House in earlier administrations, he excelled more at process than policy formulation. His publications to date consist mainly of an autobiography penned by a ghostwriter – not intellectual musings about theories of international relations.

As neither an ideologue nor a theorist, he lacks a foreign policy of his own or a clear vision of the direction one should take. He is, instead, comfortable with reflecting the State Department's views. One newspaper article described Powell as pragmatic and nonideological as well as multilateralist and moderate. The same terms would describe State's advice on nearly every issue.

Those views don't carry the weight the foreign policy specialists think they should, because arrayed against them are the political operatives of the White House and the unilateralists of the Defense Department. The White House cares about nothing more than reelection in 2004 and is going to ensure that policy is designed to serve that end.

The wants of the administration's core constituencies therefore rule. Family-planning aid to the world's poor is cut off if doing so pleases the anti-abortion crowd, and policy toward Israel is tailored to the biblical visions of the religious right.

The hard-liners at the Pentagon don't see how any multilateral entanglement can possibly serve US national interest. For them, American leadership is telling the rest of the world how it can support US goals and spending ever greater amounts on defense so America can impose its view when others don't.

In such an environment, Powell tries to be the voice of reason, accommodation, and moderation. No wonder he appears to come up on the short end of the decision so often. But given his background and temperament, Powell probably minds less than one might suppose. Once the decision is made, he follows orders.

What does seem to matter is his image, his future earning power, and his place in history. He has declined to run for office, despite encouragement from all quarters. This is often taken as a sign of his character – although having more integrity than the average politician is faint praise. It could also stem from not wanting to subject himself to the scrutiny and criticism of a campaign, as well as a lack of interest in the mechanics of making domestic policy.

Since policy takes a back seat to appearances, Powell will continue to soldier on, rather than trade his position for a few brief headlines. Being the first to depart the Bush Cabinet and leaving the impression he had a prominent role only in photo ops will not ensure his place in history. If he stays and is able to create a record of modest accomplishment, the headlines and historians will treat him more kindly. Staying around will serve that interest, not to mention contributing to the size of his next book deal.

______________________________________________
• Ambassador Dennis Jett is dean of the International Center at the University of Florida.

csmonitor.com