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To: Les H who wrote (2416)	8/3/2002 12:36:51 AM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29596

Sector Breadth Aug 2, 2002 Jul 26, 2002 Jul 19, 2002 percent stocks over MA percent stocks over MA percent stocks over MA sector (num) 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d ---------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- Aerospace/Defense (39) 51 33 15 33 31 10 8 33 10 5 10 31 Apparel (68) 13 7 0 12 60 18 6 29 7 3 3 24 Automotive (32) 19 13 9 19 53 19 13 25 13 9 9 25 Banks (122) 74 41 17 48 63 21 11 40 3 1 4 31 Biotechnology (133) 47 49 23 9 48 37 17 4 41 30 11 5 Building/Constr (89) 24 17 3 18 53 14 5 18 4 0 1 19 Chemical (57) 35 25 9 19 46 14 7 25 7 5 5 19 Commercial Svcs (150) 44 21 7 17 39 17 11 20 9 7 3 17 Computer Svcs (41) 29 15 7 7 32 12 5 2 15 12 7 5 Computer Equip (94) 29 21 12 4 16 14 6 3 26 31 10 6 Consumer Nondur (31) 61 39 23 36 58 19 0 32 3 3 3 29 Drug (ex-Biotech) (86) 60 52 20 12 43 26 9 9 22 12 7 7 Electronics (275) 21 14 4 3 13 11 3 3 24 19 3 7 Financial (107) 45 32 11 32 43 15 7 31 5 4 4 22 Foods (60) 65 45 12 33 62 20 8 30 7 8 7 17 Healthcare (109) 69 55 17 31 43 17 6 27 13 2 2 26 Household (32) 22 9 6 16 22 0 0 9 6 6 3 19 Insurance (95) 64 38 10 21 55 7 4 16 3 1 0 10 Internet (106) 24 22 11 5 22 21 11 4 25 21 11 7 Leisure (83) 28 18 8 13 34 16 5 12 6 1 0 17 Machinery (42) 29 10 5 10 41 7 0 10 7 3 0 3 Media (71) 21 19 1 4 20 4 1 4 11 6 1 4 Medical Tech (108) 54 41 19 10 55 34 11 10 28 12 4 8 Metals (ex-Gold) (55) 26 11 11 26 15 7 6 27 5 5 7 40 Oil & Gas (170) 39 14 5 10 21 3 2 10 6 6 4 14 Paper Prods & Pkg (39) 31 21 5 21 31 10 0 18 3 3 0 26 Real Estate (112) 84 50 20 46 72 14 9 38 3 2 2 28 Retail (214) 13 7 1 11 64 15 4 22 4 2 1 15 Semiconductors (136) 13 7 4 2 9 10 4 0 29 25 4 5 Software (127) 28 19 6 4 35 20 6 5 23 14 6 5 Telecom (153) 24 22 14 5 17 20 8 4 34 34 13 6 Transportation (74) 31 8 3 8 31 7 5 16 8 4 3 20 Utilities (105) 75 41 13 10 51 15 6 5 7 8 3 3

To: Les H who wrote (2416)	8/8/2002 11:00:16 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29596

9-month cycle Alternate 1: 10-, 20-, and 40-week cycles fixed with base at Sep 21 low cycle tendencies 10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low range Sep 21 start start start 965 none Oct 16 green green green 1097 +132 1101 +136 N.A. N.A. Nov 7 yellow green green 1115 + 18 1126 + 29 1052 - 42 74 Nov 30 red yellow green 1139 + 24 1163 + 48 1054 - 61 109 Dec 26 green yellow green 1149 + 10 1173 + 34 1114 - 25 59 Jan 16 yellow red yellow 1127 - 22 1177 + 28 1127 - 22 50 Feb 8 red red yellow 1096 - 31 1139 + 12 1078 - 49 61 Mar 5 green green yellow 1146 + 50 1157 + 61 1074 - 22 83 Mar 28 yellow green yellow 1147 + 1 1173 + 27 1131 - 15 42 Apr 19 red yellow red 1125 - 22 1148 + 1 1099 - 48 49 May 14 green yellow red 1096 - 29 1125 NC 1049 - 76 76 Jun 6 yellow red red 1029 - 67 1106 + 10 1027 - 69 79 Jun 28 red red red 990 - 39 1033 + 4 953 - 76 80 Jul 23 green green green 798 -198 994 + 4 796 -194 198 Aug 14 yellow green green 905 +107 911 +113 775 - 23 136 Sep 6 red yellow green Oct 1 green yellow green Oct 24 yellow red yellow Nov 15 red red yellow Dec 10 green green yellow Jan 2 yellow green yellow Jan 24 red yellow red Feb 18 green yellow red Mar 13 yellow red red Apr 4 red red red Alternate 2: 10-, 20-, and 40-week cycles lows at Sep 21 and Jul 23 cycle tendencies 10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low range Sep 21 start start start 965 none Oct 16 green green green 1097 +132 1101 +136 N.A. N.A. Nov 7 yellow green green 1115 + 18 1126 + 29 1052 - 42 74 Nov 30 red yellow green 1139 + 24 1163 + 48 1054 - 61 109 Dec 26 green yellow green 1149 + 10 1173 + 34 1114 - 25 59 Jan 16 yellow red yellow 1127 - 22 1177 + 28 1127 - 22 50 Feb 8 red red yellow 1096 - 31 1139 + 12 1078 - 49 61 Mar 5 green green yellow 1146 + 50 1157 + 61 1074 - 22 83 Mar 28 yellow green yellow 1147 + 1 1173 + 27 1131 - 15 42 Apr 19 red yellow red 1125 - 22 1148 + 1 1099 - 48 49 May 14 green yellow red 1096 - 29 1125 NC 1049 - 76 76 Jun 6 yellow red red 1029 - 67 1106 + 10 1027 - 69 79 Jun 28 red red red 990 - 39 1033 + 4 953 - 76 80 Jul 23 --- --- --- 798 -198 994 + 4 796 -194 198 Aug 15 green green green 905 +107 911 +113 775 - 23 136 Sep 9 yellow green green Oct 1 red yellow green Oct 24 green yellow green Nov 18 yellow red yellow Dec 10 red red yellow Jan 2 green green yellow Jan 27 yellow green yellow Feb 18 red yellow red Mar 13 green yellow red Apr 7 yellow red red Apr 29 red red red 22-week cycle Sep 21 SPX trough 966 (week 1) Dec 7 midpoint SPX crest 1158 (week 11) Jan 4 actual SPX crest 1176 (week 15) Feb 22 SPX trough 1090 (week 22) Mar 22 actual SPX crest 1174 (week 4) May 10 midpoint SPX crest 1055 (week 11) Jul 26 SPX trough 853 (week 22) Oct 11 midpoint SPX crest Dec 27 SPX trough 26-week Dow cycle troughs Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379 Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks Jul 24, 02 Dow 7532 length 24 weeks sample size 8 total 200 weeks average 25 weeks st dev 2 weeks next approximate Dow trough Dec 10, 02 20 weeks minimum length in sample Jan 14, 03 25 weeks average length in sample