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To: Toby Zidle who wrote (285)8/5/2002 2:46:07 AM
From: SLSUSMA  Respond to of 299
 
I think they did disclose that, although it wasn't front page news. It's debatable whether its material nor not. Most likely not, because it's hard to get around the business judgment rule, and retaining BK lawyers is exactly that - business judgment.

Class action suits tends to not have a significant overhang on stock prices, especially securities litigation. Product liability class actions is another matter.



To: Toby Zidle who wrote (285)8/12/2002 10:08:18 AM
From: SLSUSMA  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 299
 
New US Air Valuation.

Saw on Yahoo! About the only smart thing I have seen on Yahoo!

messages.yahoo.com

The terms of the bankruptcy were as follows. $500 M kicked in by new investors. $200 M by Texas Pacific. Texas Pacific will own 38% when they emerge from bankruptcy. So the $500 M stake gives the new investors 95% of the company, right?

500 / 200 = X / 38%

X = 2.5*38% = 95% for new investors

This means current equity holders own only 5%.

95% = $500 M means 100% = $526.3 M

Current shareholders own $26.3 M in terms of valuation. Divide this by the 68.1 M shares outstanding and you get 39 cents.

Or, alternatively, you can say current market cap is $166.845 M (based on 68.1 M shares and $2.45 friday closing price)

So equity holders are getting $26.3/166.845 on the dollar, or 15.77%.

Time closing price Friday is $2.45. If they are only getting 15.77% on the dollar, then current shares are worth 38.6 cents.

Will open at 38.6 cents? Probably not. Investors may decide that equity holders (current) can come out good like Continental, so they will get a premium over the floor of 39 cents. Unless you believe that the new money (Texas Pacific) are idiots (putting in too much money for too small a stake), then you should see the 39 cents as a floor

If they open at significantly lower, then a good buy.