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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (3366)8/4/2002 8:46:20 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Respond to of 3813
 
Brian, I don't but I have been following this series only for the last two years, not enough history, nevertheless, just as I suggested in April 2000 that the BTB simply cannot go much above 1.44, I would suggest that the number of semi stocks above the 200 DMA simply cannot go under zero (g), any change has to involve increases in these numbers. Similarly, in recent times (in March and May this year #reply-17485967), I noted that too many of the same stocks were moving up in tandem, suggesting, they cannot go much higher. This and many other "indicators" are, IMTO, pointing to last week being the bottom for this mini cycle. Not necessarily a bull market, but a bull move similar in dimensions to the September January advance.

Zeev



To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (3366)8/4/2002 9:14:24 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3813
 
Brian, I forgot to mention, last September, the low in the percentage of semi stocks above their 200 DMA was 3, reaching that number 9/20 and 21, and again on 9/26 and 9/27. This time, therefore, the extreme is even deeper. I am sure you remember the SOX went from around 344 to 642 or so in less than six months (most of the advance, in the first three months).

Zeev