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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (3886)8/5/2002 12:33:17 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467
 
excellent point by Kevin Phillips of LATimes

My guess is that we are halfway through a three-stage financial crisis. Over the course of the '80s and '90s, the finance, insurance and real-estate sector of the economy grew so notably that it moved ahead of the manufacturing sector in the gross domestic product numbers. We are being tossed by the wake of its over-ambition. Indeed, given the way finance and technology teamed to create the recent tech stock bubble, one can argue that boom-and-bust was a product of finance as much as of technology.

expect a bust in the financial sector next
it was a deep partner in the tech/telecom bust
in the 1998-2000 period we often heard of tech/telecom/media as the driving force between the New Economy
now telecom is utterly shattered
and tech has seen serious cuts in valuations, but not so much in bankruptcies
media has also seen serious cuts in valuations

next will be the partners in the charade and congame
FINANCE
their invbankers, their brokers, their parent orgs

the financial engineering revolution was largely built upon excess credit, deceptive accounting, bought recommendations, illegal offshore hidden debts, heavy hubris, and bullshit

watch as some pillars of FINANCE die
one of JPMorgan, Citibank, BancAmerica will die
who will it be?
how will it happen?
who will they blame?
who will they take down with them?

this Bush Administration is full of amateur quacks
starting with their Economic Advisors
continuing with naive Trez ONeill
and culminating with the Granddaddy of Bubble Inflationist Alan Greenspam

AG's legacy will be similar to Herbert Hoover's
/ jim