SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: maceng2 who wrote (3906)8/5/2002 11:49:06 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 89467
 
upcoming curveball event: divergence of HUI and XAU

we have a technical inconsistency now showing with the 200MA breakdown in XAU, but 200MA support in HUI

the heavy presence of hedged miners in XAU will next become extremely evident imho, causing confusion among gold miner investors
the brokerage houses who dont like gold will use it to dismiss the gold rally, invalidate it, and attempt to pull gold investors off the newly established choochootrain

the next run for gold could be from a base of #295 to a much higher level
my guess is #370, and perhaps even over #400
as this occurs, if this occurs, when this occurs, we will see some extreme damage done to Barrick, Placer, and even AngloGold
these are large-scale hedgers
I actually expect a hedgebook blowup for Barrick, and bankruptcy
if and when this occurs, the XAU index will slow its growth or remain flat
WHILE THE HUI INDEX CONTINUES UPWARD IN A SHARP ASCENT

gonna be interesting, to say the least
one line used by TanRange CEO Sinclair has stuck with me
"this gold rally has been disbelieved by both its bulls and bears"
I expect confusion to worsen
I will time average my buys for as long as I believe the story
the world financial system will undergo massive continued earthquakes for the next two years, at least

/ jim