SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jibacoa who wrote (6863)8/6/2002 9:47:03 AM
From: Biomaven  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
Bernard,

I absolutely agree that the "bottom line" of stock prices is that they are determined by what people are willing to pay, and this willingness to pay varies widely across time even without changes in the "true" value of a stock.

However, I still believe that if a stock does well fundamentally, its stock price will eventually catch up, and of course the converse is that if it does badly fundamentally the stock price will soon reflect this bad performance.

With SEPR, we had a big fundamental problem with their non-approvable letter that cast doubt on their whole business plan, which was based on a rapid and expensive build-up of their sales force financed with convertible bonds. In conjunction with a weak biotech market, that has decimated their stock.

As for technical analysis, all I know is that I have no expertise at it, and for that matter don't know many TA people who are now crowing about how they made a bunch money in the recent bear market. TA is very easy in retrospect, but then of course so is fundamental analysis. <g>

Peter



To: Jibacoa who wrote (6863)8/6/2002 12:00:06 PM
From: Zirdu  Respond to of 52153
 
<<I believe "value" depends on what people are willing to pay at any particular time and that depends on many variables.>>

I think that is called "price". Unless you believe in a completely efficient market, then value and price are rarely equal. Our job, as investors, is to pay a "price" for stocks that is far less than their intrinsic "value." Or to sell at a price that is far in excess of extrinsic value.