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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (36064)	8/6/2002 1:14:19 AM
From: jcky	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

<< But let's use some simple extrapolation here. We know the Palestinians are not rational, or they wouldn't have started this intifada. They have tried several mega-attacks already. They are lacing the suicide-bombs with poison. They dance in the streets when the kill ten Israelis; imagine if they killed a thousand. They want a bio-weapon and would use it if they had it. >> The bottom line. If Saddam had given bioweapons to Palestinian terrorist groups, they would have already employed them against the Israelis by now. And since there hasn't been a biologic attack, the Palestinians do not have WMDs. This isn't exactly rocket science if we use your line of thinking. << So the real question is, would Saddam give it to them? It would probably be traced to him. It would be very risky, but would earn him great kudos in the Arab world. If he thought he were going to be attacked anyway, he might risk it, I think, and rally the Arab world around him. I certainly believe that he would have the option prepared and ready. If he was sure he was going to be attacked, he would launch chemical warheads at Tel Aviv himself. >> Most hawks have maintained that Saddam will give away his WMDs to terrorists regardless of the geopolitical situation. This is myopic thinking. There is very little reason for Saddam to give away his WMDs unless he were cornered and his existence threatened. So yes, Saddam is likely to either give away his WMDs to terrorists or employ them against American troops, Israel, or Saudi Arabia if we invade Iraq. This is Saddam's policy of deterrence in case you were wondering. That's why invading Iraq is dangerous and will entail great costs. We need compelling reasons to justify an invasion of Iraq if we are going to take such foolish risks.