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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (65243)8/6/2002 12:55:00 AM
From: Donald Wennerstrom  Respond to of 70976
 
One place to get information on PSR is at Quicken.com. Both quarterly and annual PSR numbers are available. The quarterly numbers are at:

quicken.com

Note also, on the same page, the comparison numbers(trailing 12 months) for AMAT at 4.62, Industry at 16.59, sector at 19.33, and S&P at 10.09. Both PE and PSR are at numbers significantly lower than the industry averages.

Don



To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (65243)8/6/2002 1:57:08 AM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
Sarmad, calculating PSR for the trough year '98/99

AMAT sales for '98 were $4B

Shares out this year [2002] are 1.65B. Assume it was the same number in '98.
Sales/share were $4B/1.65B sh = $ 2.4 / sh

Lowest price was $5.8 in Sept '98

Best [lowest] PSR was $5.8/$2.4 = 2.4 Sep '98

--------------------------------------------

Now let's calculate PSR for the time after the '98/'99 trough when SEMI sales were about the same as now and rising. That would be Feb/March '99 and low price then was $13.7.

Thus PSR was $13.7/$2.4 = 5.7

---------------------------------------------

Conclusion: PSR was 5.7 in the same point of the cycle around Feb/March '99.

[Using SEMI sales to find the same point in the cycle assumes Applied's portion of SEMI sales is the same now as in '98/'99. Since Applied has gained market share it's probably greater now]

reference home.attbi.com

PS: no speculation about the future here - just existing facts everyone can check.

Gottfried - please check my math