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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (4716)8/6/2002 9:58:11 PM
From: orkrious  Respond to of 95503
 
Brian, lurk on these threads for a while. I really don't know what going to happen, but I do know that you don't go through the biggest financial bubble in history without serious economic dislocations.

Subject 53012

Subject 34445

When you have some time, read through Doug Noland's Credit Bubble bulletins. Here's his latest. He's been on-target.

prudentbear.com

People dis Fleck all the time, but the truth is that he's been right all along. Maybe he was early, but he's been right.



To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (4716)8/6/2002 10:19:57 PM
From: BWAC  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95503
 
I'm tired of this housing bubble theory. Newsflash. Not every section of the country thinks 1800sq ft. everyday houses are worth $2 Million. In fact such a bubble exists in just a small tiny segment.

Sure some others areas have 400 and 500k lakeside or country club golf course side 3000 sq ft. homes. That is more normal. But the same house built outside of the ultra trendy neighborhood only goes for $200k. Less than $70 per sq ft.

Is that a bubble? Less than $70 per sq ft.?

Is the price of lumber getting cheaper? Is the price of other building materials coming down? Is the labor cost falling? There isn't any bubble here.

I see houses that I wonder how people afford. But just the same they are priced at around $70 per sq. ft. If you told me people couldn't afford the houses they were buying, I'd believe that. But does that make a bubble in the asset price?



To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (4716)8/6/2002 10:42:32 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95503
 
>> A fall in home prices

Brian, A fall in home prices is guaranteed the minute the Fed starts raising rates. Prices are propped up by low rates now, which disguise the magnitude of the debt.

Sarmad